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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1994

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 46 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 37

Wilder than 37% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 11.1 expected

  • Biggest shockClemson over North Carolina17% chance · won 28-17
  • Runner-upEastern Washington over Utah State19% chance · won 49-31
  • Runner-upNavy over Tulane23% chance · won 17-15

Upsets

Thu, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#22Boston College@Louisville
61%
39%
35
14
✓
BC −4.9
–
–

Sat, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 42 games

Final
Air Force@Army
75%
25%
10
6
✓
AF −11.2
–
–
Final
Alabama@LSU
56%
44%
35
17
✓
ALA −3.1
–
–
Final
California@#17Arizona
15%
85%
6
13
✓
ARIZ −15.8
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#10Auburn
17%
84%
21
38
✓
AUB −15.1
–
–
Final
#25Bowling Green@Kent State
97%
3.4%
22
16
✓
BGSU −29.7
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@BYU
5.5%
94%
10
24
✓
BYU −25.2
–
–
Final
Toledo@Central Michigan
28%
72%
27
45
✓
CMU −8.8
–
–
Final
Clemson@North CarolinaUpset
17%
83%
28
17
✗
UNC −14.9
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#6Colorado
3.8%
96%
3
17
✓
COLO −28.2
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado State
18%
82%
24
35
✓
CSU −14.3
–
–
Final
#23Virginia@DukeUpset
51%
49%
25
28
✗
UVA −1.0
–
–
Final
Akron@Eastern Michigan
8.4%
92%
18
42
✓
EMU −21.7
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#5Florida
3.2%
97%
17
55
✓
FLA −29.4
–
–
Final
#4Florida State@Georgia Tech
97%
3.1%
41
10
✓
FSU −30.3
–
–
Final
#14Illinois@Minnesota
79%
21%
21
17
✓
ILL −13.1
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#13Kansas State
1.6%
98%
20
38
✓
KSU −34.1
–
–
Final
UNLV@Louisiana
29%
71%
27
28
✓
UL −8.5
–
–
Final
Memphis@Ole Miss
40%
60%
17
16
✗
MISS −3.5
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@Syracuse
88%
12%
27
6
✓
MIA −19.0
–
–
Final
Ball State@Miami (OH)
31%
69%
21
24
✓
M-OH −7.3
–
–
Final
#7Michigan@Purdue
68%
32%
45
23
✓
MICH −8.1
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Northwestern
61%
39%
35
17
✓
MSU −5.0
–
–
Final
Arkansas@Mississippi State
32%
68%
7
17
✓
MSST −7.0
–
–
Final
Navy@TulaneUpset
23%
77%
17
15
✗
TULN −11.2
–
–
Final
Kansas@#3Nebraska
5.1%
95%
17
45
✓
NEB −25.8
–
–
Final
Nevada@Fresno State
34%
66%
62
35
✗
FRES −6.1
–
–
Final
#11Utah@New MexicoUpset
72%
28%
21
23
✗
UTAH −9.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@San Jose State
44%
56%
24
21
✗
SJSU −2.1
–
–
Final
NC State@Maryland
55%
45%
47
45
✓
NCSU −2.6
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Arkansas State
63%
37%
38
16
✓
NIU −5.9
–
–
Final
#15Wisconsin@#18Ohio State
41%
59%
3
24
✓
OSU −3.2
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma
16%
84%
13
30
✓
OU −15.6
–
–
Final
Arizona State@Oregon
29%
71%
10
34
✓
ORE −8.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@Oregon State
16%
84%
12
24
✓
ORST −15.8
–
–
Final
#2Penn State@Indiana
91%
9.4%
35
29
✓
PSU −21.4
–
–
Final
SMU@Rice
19%
81%
10
17
✓
RICE −13.3
–
–
Final
Temple@Rutgers
14%
86%
21
38
✓
RUTG −16.9
–
–
Final
#20USC@#19Washington State
39%
61%
23
10
✗
WSU −3.8
–
–
Final
#9Washington@StanfordUpset
76%
24%
28
46
✗
WASH −11.9
–
–
Final
#8Texas A&M@Texas
62%
38%
34
10
✓
TA&M −5.3
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
57%
43%
24
6
✓
VAN −3.4
–
–
Final
Ohio@Western Michigan
7.1%
93%
3
15
✓
WMU −23.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Troy at Cincinnati Cincinnati −5.2 64%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Eastern Washington at Utah State Utah State −13.8 81%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech −9.0 72%