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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1994

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 89

Wilder than 89% of weeks in the archive.

16 upsets against 13.4 expected

  • Biggest shockAuburn over Florida11% chance · won 36-33
  • Runner-upVanderbilt over Georgia12% chance · won 43-30
  • Runner-upHouston over SMU15% chance · won 39-33

Upsets

Sat, Oct 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Alabama@#18TennesseeUpset
25%
75%
17
13
✗
TENN −10.1
–
–
Final
#13Arizona@#12Washington State
40%
60%
10
7
✗
WSU −3.7
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Arkansas
41%
59%
7
31
✓
ARK −3.2
–
–
Final
Louisville@ArmyUpset
77%
23%
29
30
✗
LOU −12.0
–
–
Final
#19Auburn@#1FloridaUpset
11%
89%
36
33
✗
FLA −19.2
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ball State
47%
53%
13
16
✓
BALL −0.7
–
–
Final
Temple@#16Boston College
2.8%
97%
28
45
✓
BC −30.3
–
–
Final
#21Bowling Green@Toledo
86%
14%
31
16
✓
BGSU −17.9
–
–
Final
BYU@#9Notre DameUpset
19%
81%
21
14
✗
ND −13.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Akron
86%
14%
47
0
✓
CMU −17.7
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@#6Colorado
18%
82%
7
45
✓
COLO −14.0
–
–
Final
UTEP@Colorado State
2.7%
97%
9
47
✓
CSU −30.6
–
–
Final
Clemson@Duke
13%
87%
13
19
✓
DUKE −17.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Fresno State
24%
76%
24
38
✓
FRES −10.6
–
–
Final
Houston@SMUUpset
15%
85%
39
33
✗
SMU −15.9
–
–
Final
Iowa@#23Illinois
16%
84%
7
47
✓
ILL −15.4
–
–
Final
Kansas@Iowa State
86%
14%
41
23
✓
KU −17.6
–
–
Final
Kentucky@LSU
15%
85%
13
17
✓
LSU −15.9
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Memphis
4.5%
96%
6
15
✓
MEM −26.8
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
66%
34%
31
10
✓
M-OH −7.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@South Carolina
35%
65%
41
36
✗
SC −5.6
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma StateUpset
19%
80%
24
15
✗
OKST −13.3
–
–
Final
#5Nebraska@#15Kansas State
66%
34%
17
6
✓
NEB −7.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Nevada
17%
83%
24
45
✓
NEV −14.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@#24North Carolina
9.9%
90%
17
41
✓
UNC −20.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@NC State
8.7%
91%
3
34
✓
NCSU −21.3
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Minnesota
37%
63%
37
31
✗
MINN −4.8
–
–
Final
#20Ohio State@Michigan State
46%
54%
23
7
✗
MSU −1.1
–
–
Final
California@Oregon
47%
53%
7
23
✓
ORE −0.8
–
–
Final
Oregon State@UCLA
36%
64%
23
14
✗
UCLA −5.4
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Pacific
59%
41%
32
41
✗
NIU −4.0
–
–
Final
#4Penn State@#7Michigan
56%
44%
31
24
✓
PSU −3.0
–
–
Final
#11Wisconsin@Purdue
59%
41%
27
27
✓
WIS −4.0
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Rutgers
19%
81%
9
14
✓
RUTG −13.6
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
37%
63%
20
13
✗
UNM −4.7
–
–
Final
USC@Stanford
64%
36%
27
20
✓
USC −6.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Southern Miss
28%
72%
20
43
✓
USM −8.9
–
–
Final
#22Baylor@#8Texas A&M
23%
77%
21
41
✓
TA&M −11.5
–
–
Final
TCU@Tulane
67%
33%
30
28
✓
TCU −7.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@Tulsa
34%
66%
22
44
✓
TLSA −6.1
–
–
Final
Hawaii@#17Utah
12%
88%
3
14
✓
UTAH −18.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@Louisiana Tech
51%
49%
7
3
✓
USU −0.8
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@GeorgiaUpset
12%
88%
43
30
✗
UGA −18.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@Georgia Tech
70%
30%
24
7
✓
UVA −8.6
–
–
Final
#14Virginia Tech@East Carolina
63%
37%
27
20
✓
VT −5.9
–
–
Final
Arizona State@#10Washington
10%
90%
14
35
✓
WASH −19.7
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Pittsburgh
58%
42%
47
41
✓
WVU −3.6
–
–

Sun, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#25Texas@RiceUpset
68%
32%
17
19
✗
TEX −7.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD UCF at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −1.6 55%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Lafayette at Navy Navy −9.3 73%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Kent State at Youngstown State Youngstown State −9.1 73%