Week 3 slate, 1994
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 2
Chaos 22
Wilder than 22% of weeks in the archive.
9 upsets against 13.3 expected
- Biggest shockTulane over Rice11% chance · won 15-13
- Runner-upNorthwestern over Stanford19% chance · won 41-41
- Runner-upTCU over New Mexico26% chance · won 44-29
Upsets
- Tulane 15, Rice 13Tulane won; the model gave them 11% before kickoff
- Fresno State 3, Washington State 24#25 Fresno State lost to unranked Washington State
No games match.
Thu, Sep 8
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Sep 10
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 45 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 8 · TBD | Western Illinois at |
Western Michigan −25.8 | 95% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Holy Cross at |
Army −21.0 | 92% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Western Carolina at |
Georgia Tech −39.1 | 99% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Southern Illinois at |
Ole Miss −43.1 | >99% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Eastern Illinois at |
UTEP −17.1 | 87% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Idaho State at |
Utah −33.5 | 98% |
| Sat, Sep 10 · TBD | Appalachian State at |
Appalachian State −0.3 | 49% |