The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1994

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 48

Wilder than 48% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 12.2 expected

  • Biggest shockUTEP over Tulsa15% chance · won 24-17
  • Runner-upColorado State over Arizona19% chance · won 21-16
  • Runner-upIllinois over Ohio State21% chance · won 24-10

Upsets

Thu, Oct 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#17Kansas State@Kansas
54%
46%
21
13
✓
KSU −1.6
–
–

Sat, Oct 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Navy@Air Force
8.6%
91%
21
43
✓
AF −22.8
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Alabama
22%
78%
6
14
✓
ALA −13.0
–
–
Final
Stanford@Arizona State
38%
62%
35
36
✓
ASU −5.0
–
–
Final
#23Auburn@Mississippi State
52%
48%
42
18
✓
AUB −0.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball State
31%
69%
24
24
✗
BALL −8.4
–
–
Final
SMU@Baylor
11%
89%
10
44
✓
BAY −20.7
–
–
Final
#7Notre Dame@#24Boston College
67%
33%
11
30
✗
ND −7.1
–
–
Final
Ohio@#20Bowling Green
1.7%
98%
0
32
✓
BGSU −35.1
–
–
Final
BYU@Fresno State
40%
60%
32
30
✗
FRES −4.4
–
–
Final
UCLA@California
35%
65%
7
26
✓
CAL −6.5
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Central Michigan
44%
56%
28
35
✓
CMU −2.7
–
–
Final
#6Colorado@Missouri
95%
4.6%
38
23
✓
COLO −27.9
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#11ArizonaUpset
19%
82%
21
16
✗
ARIZ −15.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@South Carolina
28%
72%
56
42
✗
SC −9.8
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Kent State
48%
52%
24
10
✗
KENT −0.9
–
–
Final
LSU@#1Florida
4.5%
96%
18
42
✓
FLA −28.2
–
–
Final
Clemson@Georgia
18%
82%
14
40
✓
UGA −15.0
–
–
Final
Illinois@#12Ohio StateUpset
21%
79%
24
10
✗
OSU −13.2
–
–
Final
Indiana@Iowa
57%
42%
27
20
✓
IU −3.0
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Louisiana
19%
82%
0
26
✓
UL −15.0
–
–
Final
NC State@Louisville
46%
54%
14
35
✓
LOU −1.8
–
–
Final
Tulane@Memphis
12%
88%
0
13
✓
MEM −19.4
–
–
Final
#2Florida State@#4Miami (FL)
48%
52%
20
34
✓
MIA −0.8
–
–
Final
Akron@Miami (OH)
18%
82%
14
50
✓
M-OH −15.1
–
–
Final
#21Michigan State@#10Michigan
27%
73%
20
40
✓
MICH −10.3
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#5Nebraska
4.7%
95%
3
32
✓
NEB −27.9
–
–
Final
Pacific@Nevada
13%
87%
26
38
✓
NEV −18.5
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@UNLV
36%
64%
20
24
✓
UNLV −6.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Hawaii
30%
70%
38
21
✗
HAW −9.0
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#19North Carolina
11%
89%
24
31
✓
UNC −20.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Northern Illinois
43%
57%
27
48
✓
NIU −3.1
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Purdue
16%
84%
37
49
✓
PUR −16.5
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Rice
62%
38%
21
24
✗
TTU −4.8
–
–
Final
Army@Rutgers
18%
82%
14
16
✓
RUTG −15.2
–
–
Final
USC@Oregon State
62%
38%
27
19
✓
USC −4.8
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Syracuse
16%
84%
7
31
✓
SYR −16.4
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#15Tennessee
24%
76%
21
38
✓
TENN −12.1
–
–
Final
#22Oklahoma@TexasUpset
45%
55%
10
17
✓
TEX −2.2
–
–
Final
#9Texas A&M@Houston
99%
1.2%
38
7
✓
TA&M −37.3
–
–
Final
UTEP@TulsaUpset
15%
86%
24
17
✗
TLSA −17.6
–
–
Final
#18Utah@San Diego State
71%
29%
38
22
✓
UTAH −9.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Cincinnati
52%
48%
34
24
✓
VAN −0.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@Wake Forest
83%
17%
42
6
✓
UVA −15.8
–
–
Final
Temple@#14Virginia Tech
3.4%
97%
13
41
✓
VT −30.3
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#8Washington
0.4%
>99%
20
34
✓
WASH −43.5
–
–
Final
Oregon@#13Washington State
21%
79%
7
21
✓
WSU −13.4
–
–
Final
#16Wisconsin@Northwestern
75%
25%
46
14
✓
WIS −11.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Wyoming
16%
84%
14
28
✓
WYO −16.8
–
–