The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1994

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 44 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 92

Wilder than 92% of weeks in the archive.

20 upsets against 12.9 expected

  • Biggest shockNavy over Rice12% chance · won 29-17
  • Runner-upWake Forest over Georgia Tech18% chance · won 20-13
  • Runner-upUNLV over Nevada23% chance · won 32-27

Upsets

Sat, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 43 games

Final
58%
42%
10
24
✗
OHIO −3.5
–
–
Final
54%
46%
14
21
✗
AUB −2.0
–
–
Final
65%
35%
34
0
✓
BALL −6.5
–
–
Final
38%
62%
23
24
✓
CAL −4.3
–
–
Final
51%
49%
13
28
✗
TLSA −1.0
–
–
Final
0.9%
99%
20
41
✓
COLO −38.1
–
–
Final
70%
30%
44
42
✓
CSU −9.0
–
–
Final
43%
57%
30
6
✗
MEM −2.3
–
–
Final
48%
52%
37
40
✓
EMU −0.4
–
–
Final
95%
5.3%
24
7
✓
FLA −26.2
–
–
Final
91%
9.2%
34
3
✓
FSU −21.6
–
–
Final
43%
57%
33
29
✗
PUR −2.2
–
–
Final
51%
49%
49
42
✓
IOWA −0.9
–
–
Final
64%
36%
31
14
✓
KU −6.2
–
–
Final
11%
89%
6
23
✓
KSU −18.9
–
–
Final
57%
43%
14
17
✗
WMU −3.3
–
–
Final
82%
18%
49
25
✓
LSU −15.2
–
–
Final
49%
51%
20
14
✗
PK
–
–
Final
99%
0.7%
38
14
✓
MIA −39.6
–
–
Final
Rice@NavyUpset
88%
12%
17
29
✗
RICE −19.5
–
–
Final
77%
23%
27
32
✗
NEV −12.1
–
–
Final
9.1%
91%
21
25
✓
UNM −21.0
–
–
Final
45%
55%
41
40
✗
DUKE −1.5
–
–
Final
17%
83%
30
42
✓
ND −14.8
–
–
Final
48%
52%
6
22
✓
OSU −0.2
–
–
Final
66%
34%
17
13
✓
ORE −7.0
–
–
Final
1.2%
99%
17
45
✓
PSU −36.0
–
–
Final
55%
45%
21
35
✗
RUTG −2.4
–
–
Final
27%
73%
28
15
✗
Pacific −9.5
–
–
Final
44%
56%
33
7
✗
CLEM −2.0
–
–
Final
22%
78%
16
21
✓
SYR −11.7
–
–
Final
4.2%
96%
0
52
✓
TENN −27.3
–
–
Final
8.3%
92%
17
34
✓
TA&M −21.7
–
–
Final
1.3%
99%
0
34
✓
TTU −35.5
–
–
Final
#9USC@UCLAUpset
75%
25%
19
31
✗
USC −11.4
–
–
Final
22%
78%
31
34
✓
UTAH −11.7
–
–
Final
38%
62%
20
47
✓
USU −4.2
–
–
Final
38%
62%
42
23
✗
VT −4.3
–
–
Final
18%
82%
20
13
✗
GT −14.1
–
–
Final
52%
48%
6
23
✗
WASH −1.2
–
–
Final
70%
30%
20
21
✗
BC −9.0
–
–
Final
45%
55%
13
19
✓
WIS −1.5
–
–
Final
43%
57%
13
10
✗
HAW −2.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD North Texas at Louisiana-Monroe North Texas −4.1 59%