The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1989

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 18 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 16

Wilder than 16% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 6.6 expected

  • Biggest shockPittsburgh over Texas A&M31% chance · won 31-28
  • Runner-upOle Miss over Air Force35% chance · won 42-29
  • Runner-upTennessee over Arkansas45% chance · won 31-27

Upsets

Sat, Dec 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Ball StatevsFresno State
30%
70%
6
27
✓
FRES −7.7
–
–

Sat, Dec 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Tulsavs#21Oregon
17%
83%
24
27
✓
ORE −14.6
–
–

Mon, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14Michigan StatevsHawaii
66%
34%
33
13
✓
MSU −7.0
–
–

Thu, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Air ForcevsOle Miss
65%
35%
29
42
✗
AF −6.7
–
–
Final
DukevsTexas Tech
47%
53%
21
49
✓
TTU −0.5
–
–

Fri, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20BYUvs#22Penn State
53%
47%
39
50
✗
BYU −1.9
–
–

Sat, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#16West Virginiavs#9Clemson
34%
66%
7
27
✓
CLEM −6.1
–
–
Final
#12Texas A&MvsPittsburghUpset
69%
31%
28
31
✗
TA&M −8.2
–
–
Final
GeorgiavsSyracuse
53%
47%
18
19
✗
UGA −1.6
–
–
Final
Floridavs#15Washington
40%
60%
7
34
✓
WASH −3.6
–
–

Sun, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
NC Statevs#25Arizona
35%
65%
10
17
✓
ARIZ −5.6
–
–

Mon, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 7 games

Final
Ohio Statevs#10Auburn
23%
77%
14
31
✓
AUB −11.1
–
–
Final
#6Nebraskavs#4Florida State
45%
55%
17
41
✓
FSU −1.4
–
–
Final
#24Virginiavs#19Illinois
42%
58%
21
31
✓
ILL −3.0
–
–
Final
#11Alabamavs#1Miami (FL)
19%
82%
25
33
✓
MIA −13.9
–
–
Final
#3Coloradovs#5Notre Dame
50%
50%
6
21
✓
COLO −0.4
–
–
Final
#8Michiganvs#7USC
43%
57%
10
17
✓
USC −2.2
–
–
Final
#13Arkansasvs#18Tennessee
55%
45%
27
31
✗
ARK −2.5
–
–