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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1989

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 47 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 59

Wilder than 59% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 11.4 expected

  • Biggest shockRice over Baylor12% chance · won 6-3
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over San Jose State15% chance · won 28-14
  • Runner-upNew Mexico over Fresno State16% chance · won 45-22

Upsets

Sat, Nov 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 43 games

Final
Southern Miss@#11Alabama
15%
85%
14
37
✓
ALA −16.2
–
–
Final
#13Auburn@#21Georgia
51%
49%
20
3
✓
AUB −1.0
–
–
Final
Ball State@Ohio
76%
24%
33
14
✓
BALL −11.5
–
–
Final
Utah@#24BYU
7.1%
93%
31
70
✓
BYU −23.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@San Jose StateUpset
15%
85%
28
14
✗
SJSU −16.1
–
–
Final
#9Clemson@South Carolina
73%
27%
45
0
✓
CLEM −10.2
–
–
Final
#4Colorado@Kansas State
>99%
0.4%
59
11
✓
COLO −42.8
–
–
Final
Duke@North Carolina
82%
18%
41
0
✓
DUKE −15.2
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Florida
27%
73%
28
38
✓
FLA −9.4
–
–
Final
Memphis@#5Florida State
0.8%
99%
20
57
✓
FSU −38.4
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Georgia Tech
25%
75%
14
43
✓
GT −10.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@#20Illinois
28%
72%
28
41
✓
ILL −8.8
–
–
Final
Iowa@Purdue
54%
46%
24
0
✓
IOWA −2.2
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Oklahoma State
36%
64%
31
21
✗
OKST −5.2
–
–
Final
Kansas@Missouri
26%
74%
46
44
✗
MIZ −9.7
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@LSU
30%
70%
20
44
✓
LSU −7.8
–
–
Final
Louisville@Boston College
56%
44%
36
22
✓
LOU −3.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#1Miami (FL)
1.1%
99%
6
42
✓
MIA −36.4
–
–
Final
#8Michigan@Minnesota
88%
12%
49
15
✓
MICH −19.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#15Michigan State
1.9%
98%
14
76
✓
MSU −32.9
–
–
Final
#14Oklahoma@#7Nebraska
23%
77%
25
42
✓
NEB −11.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@New MexicoUpset
84%
16%
22
45
✗
FRES −16.1
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Cincinnati
64%
36%
56
3
✓
NIU −6.2
–
–
Final
#3Notre Dame@#23Penn State
75%
25%
34
23
✓
ND −11.2
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Ohio State
10%
90%
22
42
✓
OSU −19.9
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#19Oregon
11%
89%
21
30
✓
ORE −19.3
–
–
Final
Pacific@New Mexico State
48%
52%
14
10
✗
NMSU −0.4
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Pittsburgh
21%
79%
42
47
✓
PITT −12.2
–
–
Final
Rice@BaylorUpset
12%
88%
6
3
✗
BAY −18.4
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
41%
59%
14
24
✓
STAN −3.1
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Temple
69%
31%
33
36
✗
RUTG −8.2
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#18Tennessee
18%
82%
21
33
✓
TENN −13.9
–
–
Final
TCU@Texas
22%
78%
17
31
✓
TEX −11.6
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@SMU
94%
5.5%
48
24
✓
TTU −26.0
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Toledo
64%
36%
6
29
✗
CMU −6.4
–
–
Final
Tulane@Vanderbilt
39%
61%
37
13
✗
VAN −4.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Tulsa
18%
82%
10
45
✓
TLSA −14.3
–
–
Final
#6USC@UCLA
82%
18%
10
10
✓
USC −15.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@UNLV
45%
55%
27
22
✗
UNLV −1.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@Maryland
54%
46%
48
21
✓
UVA −1.9
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@NC State
36%
64%
25
23
✗
NCSU −5.2
–
–
Final
#22Washington State@#17Washington
37%
63%
9
20
✓
WASH −4.8
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Miami (OH)
72%
28%
14
7
✓
WMU −9.6
–
–

Sun, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
UTEP@Wyoming
16%
84%
10
41
✓
WYO −15.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 18 · TBD Colgate at Army Army −26.5 95%
Sat, Nov 18 · TBD Navy at Delaware Delaware −13.4 81%
Sat, Nov 18 · TBD Arkansas State at Louisiana Louisiana −0.2 52%