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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1989

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 77

Wilder than 77% of weeks in the archive.

16 upsets against 12.3 expected

  • Biggest shockGeorgia Tech over Clemson7.8% chance · won 30-14
  • Runner-upLiberty over Eastern Michigan19% chance · won 25-24
  • Runner-upTexas over Oklahoma20% chance · won 28-24

Upsets

Sat, Oct 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Louisiana@#10Alabama
8.1%
92%
17
24
✓
ALA −23.3
–
–
Final
#20UCLA@ArizonaUpset
47%
53%
7
42
✓
ARIZ −1.3
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Arizona State
33%
67%
17
17
✗
ASU −7.6
–
–
Final
#14Arkansas@Texas Tech
66%
34%
45
13
✓
ARK −6.7
–
–
Final
LSU@#13Auburn
24%
76%
6
10
✓
AUB −11.9
–
–
Final
Ball State@Kent State
82%
18%
23
21
✓
BALL −15.0
–
–
Final
Baylor@SMU
93%
6.8%
49
3
✓
BAY −24.6
–
–
Final
Temple@Boston College
15%
85%
14
35
✓
BC −17.3
–
–
Final
Toledo@Bowling Green
61%
39%
23
27
✗
TOL −4.5
–
–
Final
#22BYU@Colorado State
72%
28%
45
16
✓
BYU −9.7
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Pacific
63%
37%
35
26
✓
Cal State Fullerton −5.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
46%
54%
34
6
✗
WMU −1.6
–
–
Final
#4Colorado@Iowa State
93%
7.4%
52
17
✓
COLO −23.9
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#21Florida
14%
86%
11
34
✓
FLA −18.1
–
–
Final
#5Florida State@Virginia Tech
77%
23%
41
7
✓
FSU −12.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Utah State
91%
8.7%
34
7
✓
FRES −22.4
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#9ClemsonUpset
7.8%
92%
30
14
✗
CLEM −23.7
–
–
Final
Illinois@Purdue
84%
16%
14
2
✓
ILL −16.1
–
–
Final
Iowa@Wisconsin
64%
36%
31
24
✓
IOWA −5.7
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Kentucky
31%
69%
26
33
✓
UK −8.2
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Louisiana Tech
27%
73%
21
42
✓
LT −10.4
–
–
Final
Maryland@Wake Forest
52%
48%
27
7
✓
MD −0.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@Cincinnati
48%
52%
34
17
✗
CIN −0.8
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#1Miami (FL)
0.6%
99%
16
48
✓
MIA −41.6
–
–
Final
#12Michigan@#17Michigan State
48%
52%
10
7
✗
MSU −1.0
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Northwestern
59%
41%
20
18
✓
MINN −3.7
–
–
Final
Georgia@Ole Miss
61%
39%
13
17
✗
UGA −4.4
–
–
Final
#6Nebraska@Missouri
92%
8.0%
50
7
✓
NEB −23.2
–
–
Final
#3Notre Dame@#16Air Force
61%
39%
41
27
✓
ND −4.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
38%
62%
22
22
✗
OHIO −5.3
–
–
Final
#23Indiana@Ohio StateUpset
66%
34%
31
35
✗
IU −6.8
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Oklahoma State
5.9%
94%
13
17
✓
OKST −25.9
–
–
Final
Penn State@Syracuse
41%
59%
34
12
✗
SYR −3.9
–
–
Final
Navy@#18Pittsburgh
3.4%
97%
14
31
✓
PITT −30.3
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Diego State
5.8%
94%
26
30
✓
SDSU −26.1
–
–
Final
#7USC@California
83%
17%
31
15
✓
USC −15.5
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisville
40%
60%
16
10
✗
LOU −4.1
–
–
Final
#8Oklahoma@TexasUpset
80%
20%
24
28
✗
OU −13.9
–
–
Final
#2Houston@#19Texas A&M
72%
28%
13
17
✗
HOU −9.7
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
35%
65%
30
16
✗
RICE −6.4
–
–
Final
New Mexico@UTEP
33%
67%
7
26
✓
UTEP −7.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Tulsa
5.2%
95%
13
34
✓
TLSA −27.0
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Virginia
13%
87%
17
50
✓
UVA −18.9
–
–
Final
Oregon@Washington
42%
58%
14
20
✓
WASH −3.5
–
–
Final
Stanford@#15Washington State
14%
86%
13
31
✓
WSU −18.1
–
–
Final
Utah@Wyoming
29%
71%
24
45
✓
WYO −9.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 14 · TBD Holy Cross at Army Army −31.3 97%
Sat, Oct 14 · TBD Akron at Eastern Illinois Akron −12.0 77%
Sat, Oct 14 · TBD Liberty at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −14.6 81%