The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1989

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 46 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 1

Chaos 86

Wilder than 86% of weeks in the archive.

16 upsets against 12.7 expected

  • Biggest shockLamar over UTEP2.7% chance · won 21-19
  • Runner-upTennessee over UCLA20% chance · won 24-6
  • Runner-upMississippi State over Southern Miss27% chance · won 26-23

Upsets

Thu, Sep 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#23Washington State@#18BYU
39%
61%
46
41
✗
BYU −3.8
–
–

Sat, Sep 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 36 games

Final
Kent State@Akron
45%
55%
7
40
✓
AKR −1.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Arizona State
19%
81%
0
31
✓
ASU −13.1
–
–
Final
Pacific@#15Auburn
0.1%
>99%
0
55
✓
AUB −46.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Ball State
47%
53%
31
31
✗
BALL −0.6
–
–
Final
#8Clemson@#6Florida State
30%
70%
34
23
✗
FSU −7.6
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#9Colorado
8.9%
91%
20
45
✓
COLO −20.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Duke
30%
70%
31
41
✓
DUKE −7.5
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@East Carolina
24%
76%
6
41
✓
ECU −10.2
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Hawaii
1.4%
99%
10
63
✓
HAW −34.2
–
–
Final
Ohio@Iowa State
24%
76%
3
28
✓
ISU −10.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@Kentucky
53%
47%
14
17
✗
IU −1.8
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Louisiana
60%
40%
20
22
✗
CMU −4.2
–
–
Final
Louisville@Kansas
86%
14%
33
28
✓
LOU −17.4
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@Wisconsin
96%
3.7%
51
3
✓
MIA −28.2
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Florida
47%
53%
24
19
✗
FLA −0.8
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#21Southern MissUpset
27%
73%
26
23
✗
USM −8.9
–
–
Final
TCU@Missouri
40%
60%
10
14
✓
MIZ −3.4
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@#14Nebraska
8.1%
92%
17
48
✓
NEB −21.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@New Mexico
31%
69%
13
45
✓
UNM −7.0
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@NC State
26%
74%
28
38
✓
NCSU −9.3
–
–
Final
Baylor@#5Oklahoma
10%
90%
7
33
✓
OU −19.1
–
–
Final
California@Oregon
40%
60%
19
35
✓
ORE −3.4
–
–
Final
Stanford@Oregon State
50%
50%
16
20
✓
STAN −0.4
–
–
Final
#20Pittsburgh@Boston College
64%
36%
29
10
✓
PITT −6.1
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Purdue
31%
69%
10
27
✓
PUR −7.2
–
–
Final
#19Syracuse@Temple
71%
29%
43
3
✓
SYR −9.2
–
–
Final
Tennessee@#12UCLAUpset
19%
80%
24
6
✗
UCLA −12.8
–
–
Final
#10Arizona@Texas TechUpset
66%
34%
14
24
✗
ARIZ −6.9
–
–
Final
Rice@Tulane
46%
54%
19
20
✓
TULN −1.1
–
–
Final
#16Oklahoma State@TulsaUpset
59%
41%
10
20
✗
OKST −3.8
–
–
Final
Utah State@Utah
36%
64%
10
45
✓
UTAH −4.9
–
–
Final
Virginia@Penn State
31%
68%
14
6
✗
PSU −7.0
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Virginia Tech
47%
53%
17
17
✗
VT −0.7
–
–
Final
#11Texas A&M@WashingtonUpset
59%
41%
6
19
✗
TA&M −3.9
–
–
Final
#4West Virginia@Maryland
81%
19%
14
10
✓
WVU −13.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Western Michigan
34%
66%
20
24
✓
WMU −5.9
–
–

Sun, Sep 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Wyoming@Air Force
50%
50%
7
45
✓
WYO −0.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Appalachian State at Wake Forest Wake Forest −5.9 66%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Arkansas State at Memphis Pick'em 51%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Cal State Northridge at Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton −17.9 88%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Youngstown State at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −28.0 96%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Montana at #17 Fresno State Fresno State −31.7 98%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Lamar at UTEP UTEP −29.7 97%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD Weber State at UNLV UNLV −14.0 83%
Sat, Sep 9 · TBD VMI at North Carolina North Carolina −34.6 99%