The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1989

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 22 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 37

Wilder than 37% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 5.8 expected

  • Biggest shockPurdue over Indiana14% chance · won 15-14
  • Runner-upMinnesota over Iowa30% chance · won 43-7
  • Runner-upLong Beach State over Utah State37% chance · won 31-18

Upsets

Thu, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18West Virginia@Syracuse
58%
42%
24
17
✓
WVU −3.9
–
–

Fri, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#11Arkansas@#13Texas A&M
45%
55%
23
22
✗
TA&M −1.6
–
–

Sat, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 20 games

Final
#25Air Force@Utah
86%
14%
42
38
✓
AF −17.9
–
–
Final
Arizona@Arizona State
62%
38%
28
10
✓
ARIZ −5.4
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas
43%
57%
50
7
✗
TEX −2.5
–
–
Final
#20BYU@San Diego State
77%
23%
48
27
✓
BYU −12.5
–
–
Final
Boston College@Georgia Tech
29%
71%
12
13
✓
GT −8.4
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Hawaii
15%
85%
21
23
✓
HAW −16.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#2Houston
7.9%
92%
24
40
✓
HOU −22.2
–
–
Final
#19Illinois@Northwestern
95%
4.7%
63
14
✓
ILL −27.2
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
63%
37%
18
31
✗
USU −5.7
–
–
Final
LSU@Tulane
75%
25%
27
7
✓
LSU −11.4
–
–
Final
#3Notre Dame@#1Miami (FL)
32%
68%
10
27
✓
MIA −7.1
–
–
Final
Ohio State@#8Michigan
14%
86%
18
28
✓
MICH −16.8
–
–
Final
#14Michigan State@Wisconsin
92%
7.5%
31
3
✓
MSU −23.5
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Iowa
30%
70%
43
7
✗
IOWA −8.1
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
39%
61%
11
21
✓
MISS −3.9
–
–
Final
#22Penn State@Pittsburgh
50%
50%
16
13
✓
PSU −0.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@IndianaUpset
14%
86%
15
14
✗
IU −16.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@San Jose State
12%
88%
28
38
✓
SJSU −18.4
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Southern Miss
31%
69%
27
41
✓
USM −7.3
–
–
Final
#17Tennessee@Kentucky
68%
32%
31
10
✓
TENN −8.1
–
–