Week 9 slate, 1989
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the
favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood
that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1
Chaos 31
Wilder than 31% of weeks in the archive.
11 upsets against 13.9 expected
- Biggest shockSMU over North Texas7.6% chance · won 35-9
- Runner-upArizona State over Washington State19% chance · won 44-39
- Runner-upJames Madison over Navy32% chance · won 24-20
No games match.
Sat, Oct 28
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Final
28%
72%
0
31
✓
AKR −8.6
–
–
Final
55%
45%
17
16
✓
ALA −2.6
–
–
Final
0.3%
>99%
14
38
✓
ARIZ −44.9
–
–
Final
80%
20%
39
44
✗
WSU −14.2
–
–
Final
56%
44%
39
45
✗
HOU −3.0
–
–
Final
37%
63%
14
35
✓
ARMY −4.7
–
–
Final
14%
86%
0
14
✓
AUB −16.7
–
–
Final
29%
71%
9
27
✓
BAY −8.3
–
–
Final
38%
62%
9
24
✓
CMU −4.2
–
–
Final
5.8%
94%
10
44
✓
CLEM −24.8
–
–
Final
59%
41%
20
3
✓
COLO −4.1
–
–
Final
50%
50%
50
10
✓
CSU −0.6
–
–
Final
40%
60%
19
30
✓
DUKE −3.6
–
–
Final
66%
34%
10
24
✗
MIA −7.0
–
–
Final
3.1%
97%
17
31
✓
FRES −29.5
–
–
Final
26%
74%
23
34
✓
UGA −10.0
–
–
Final
57%
43%
14
56
✗
BYU −3.3
–
–
Final
8.9%
91%
9
32
✓
ILL −21.1
–
–
Final
73%
27%
35
22
✓
IOWA −10.3
–
–
Final
45%
55%
21
16
✗
KSU −1.6
–
–
Final
44%
56%
31
34
✓
LT −1.7
–
–
Final
17%
83%
0
38
✓
MD −14.9
–
–
Final
53%
47%
13
17
✗
BGSU −1.8
–
–
Final
25%
75%
10
38
✓
MICH −10.5
–
–
Final
90%
10%
28
21
✓
MSU −20.5
–
–
Final
23%
77%
16
24
✓
MISS −11.4
–
–
Final
2.1%
98%
17
49
✓
NEB −32.4
–
–
Final
40%
60%
20
10
✗
SC −3.5
–
–
Final
56%
44%
20
17
✓
NIU −3.1
–
–
Final
17%
83%
7
45
✓
ND −14.6
–
–
Final
55%
45%
41
37
✓
OSU −2.5
–
–
Final
55%
45%
31
30
✓
OKST −2.5
–
–
Final
1.0%
99%
10
52
✓
ORE −37.3
–
–
Final
42%
58%
25
14
✗
CAL −2.9
–
–
Final
51%
49%
34
31
✓
SDSU −0.8
–
–
Final
5.1%
95%
6
34
✓
SJSU −25.8
–
–
Final
6.8%
93%
0
19
✓
USC −23.4
–
–
Final
62%
38%
31
7
✓
USM −5.5
–
–
Final
25%
75%
16
18
✓
SYR −10.4
–
–
Final
45%
55%
45
39
✗
LSU −1.7
–
–
Final
87%
13%
45
7
✓
TA&M −18.4
–
–
Final
66%
34%
47
42
✓
TOL −7.1
–
–
Final
23%
77%
15
16
✓
UVA −11.3
–
–
Final
26%
74%
13
30
✓
VT −10.1
–
–
Final
54%
46%
28
27
✓
WASH −2.1
–
–
Final
85%
15%
44
30
✓
WVU −16.8
–
–
Final
16%
84%
13
28
✓
WMU −15.5
–
–
Final
74%
26%
24
23
✓
WYO −10.7
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game |
Model | Win |
|---|
| Thu, Oct 26 · TBD |
Indiana State at Ball State |
Ball State −35.1 |
99% |
| Sat, Oct 28 · TBD |
James Madison at Navy |
Navy −6.8 |
68% |
| Sat, Oct 28 · TBD |
North Texas at SMU |
North Texas −23.4 |
92% |