The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1999

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 26 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 69

Wilder than 69% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 9.3 expected

  • Biggest shockHawaii over Oregon State17% chance · won 23-17
  • Runner-upGeorgia over Purdue34% chance · won 28-25
  • Runner-upAlabama over Florida36% chance · won 34-7

Upsets

Fri, Dec 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Western Michiganvs#13Marshall
11%
89%
30
34
✓
MRSH −19.4
–
–

Sat, Dec 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#7Floridavs#17Alabama
64%
36%
7
34
✗
FLA −6.3
–
–
Final
#12Texasvs#3Nebraska
26%
74%
6
22
✓
NEB −10.0
–
–

Sat, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Fresno Statevs#21Utah
29%
71%
16
17
✓
UTAH −8.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
East CarolinavsTCU
60%
40%
14
28
✗
ECU −4.7
–
–

Sat, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Oregon StatevsHawaiiUpset
83%
17%
17
23
✗
ORST −15.7
–
–
Final
Arizona StatevsWake Forest
49%
51%
3
23
✓
ASU −0.2
–
–

Mon, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
BYUvs#13Marshall
36%
64%
3
21
✓
MRSH −5.4
–
–

Tue, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14Texas A&Mvs#8Penn State
38%
62%
0
24
✓
PSU −4.4
–
–

Wed, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Washingtonvs#4Kansas State
16%
84%
20
24
✓
KSU −15.5
–
–
Final
KentuckyvsSyracuse
36%
64%
13
20
✓
SYR −5.2
–
–

Thu, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
LouisvillevsBoise State
62%
38%
31
34
✗
LOU −5.6
–
–
Final
VirginiavsIllinois
51%
49%
21
63
✗
UVA −0.9
–
–
Final
#22ClemsonvsMississippi StateUpset
55%
45%
7
17
✗
CLEM −2.6
–
–

Fri, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
Boston CollegevsColorado
32%
68%
28
62
✓
COLO −6.8
–
–
Final
#18OklahomavsOle MissUpset
60%
40%
25
27
✗
OU −4.4
–
–
Final
#23Minnesotavs#20Oregon
47%
53%
20
24
✓
ORE −0.6
–
–
Final
Colorado Statevs#19Southern Miss
40%
60%
17
23
✓
USM −3.7
–
–

Sat, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
#12Texasvs#25Arkansas
62%
38%
6
27
✗
TEX −5.5
–
–
Final
#16PurduevsGeorgiaUpset
66%
34%
25
28
✗
PUR −7.0
–
–
Final
#15Georgia Techvs#9Miami (FL)
39%
61%
13
28
✓
MIA −4.0
–
–
Final
#17Alabamavs#10Michigan
39%
61%
34
35
✓
MICH −4.0
–
–
Final
#7Floridavs#11Michigan State
57%
42%
34
37
✗
FLA −3.5
–
–
Final
Stanfordvs#6Wisconsin
21%
79%
9
17
✓
WIS −12.2
–
–

Sun, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#5Tennesseevs#3Nebraska
40%
60%
21
31
✓
NEB −3.6
–
–

Tue, Jan 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#2Virginia Techvs#1Florida State
48%
52%
29
46
✓
FSU −0.1
–
–