Week 8 slate, 1999
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 48 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 88
Wilder than 88% of weeks in the archive.
19 upsets against 12.0 expected
- Biggest shockCalifornia over UCLA11% chance · won 17-0
- Runner-upArizona State over Washington14% chance · won 28-7
- Runner-upSMU over Fresno State16% chance · won 24-14
Upsets
- Fresno State 14, SMU 24SMU won; the model gave them 16% before kickoff
- Arizona State 28, Washington 7Arizona State won; the model gave them 14% before kickoff
- California 17, UCLA 0California won; the model gave them 11% before kickoff
- Iowa State 24, Missouri 21Iowa State won; the model gave them 23% before kickoff
No games match.
Thu, Oct 14
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 2 games
Sat, Oct 16
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 45 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 16 · TBD | Nicholls at |
UCF −47.5 | >99% |