Week 7 slate, 1999
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 66
Wilder than 66% of weeks in the archive.
13 upsets against 14.3 expected
- Biggest shockDuke over Virginia10% chance · won 24-17
- Runner-upUNLV over Wyoming14% chance · won 35-32
- Runner-upNew Mexico over San Diego State15% chance · won 24-21
Upsets
- USC 24, Arizona 31#15 USC lost to unranked Arizona
- Duke 24, Virginia 17Duke won; the model gave them 10% before kickoff
- Colorado State 13, Fresno State 44#25 Colorado State lost to unranked Fresno State
- UNLV 35, Wyoming 32UNLV won; the model gave them 14% before kickoff
- New Mexico 24, San Diego State 21New Mexico won; the model gave them 15% before kickoff
- Oregon 29, UCLA 34#20 Oregon lost to unranked UCLA
No games match.
Thu, Oct 7
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 2 games
Sat, Oct 9
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 50 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 9 · TBD | Eastern Washington at |
Boise State −31.6 | 97% |
| Sat, Oct 9 · TBD | The Citadel at |
Vanderbilt −26.7 | 95% |