Week 12 slate, 1999

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

No games match.

Thu, Nov 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

NC State@North Carolina

59%
41%

6
10

✗

NCSU −4.2

–

–

Sat, Nov 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 51 games

Final

UNLV@Air Force

4.3%
96%

16
35

✓

AF −27.2

–

–

Final

Kent State@Akron

10%
90%

34
37

✓

AKR −19.7

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@#17Alabama

32%
68%

7
19

✓

ALA −7.1

–

–

Final

#5Tennessee@#18Arkansas

61%
39%

24
28

✗

TENN −4.8

–

–

Final

Nevada@Arkansas State

49%
51%

28
44

✓

NEV −0.2

–

–

Final

Auburn@Georgia

30%
70%

38
21

✗

UGA −7.8

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Boise State

38%
62%

26
45

✓

BOIS −4.5

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Boston College

48%
52%

17
34

✓

BC −0.3

–

–

Final

Ball State@Bowling Green

16%
84%

14
35

✓

BGSU −15.6

–

–

Final

UCF@Middle Tennessee

76%
24%

39
14

✓

UCF −11.6

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Central Michigan

51%
49%

26
29

✗

EMU −0.9

–

–

Final

Colorado@Baylor

87%
13%

37
0

✓

COLO −18.5

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Duke

63%
37%

35
48

✗

WAKE −5.9

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@East Carolina

20%
80%

34
48

✓

ECU −12.7

–

–

Final

#6Florida@South Carolina

95%
5.0%

20
3

✓

FLA −26.8

–

–

Final

Maryland@#1Florida State

4.3%
96%

10
49

✓

FSU −27.1

–

–

Final

Clemson@#11Georgia Tech

28%
72%

42
45

✓

GT −9.0

–

–

Final

Fresno State@Hawaii

71%
29%

24
31

✗

FRES −9.2

–

–

Final

Houston@LSU

37%
63%

20
7

✗

LSU −4.7

–

–

Final

Illinois@#16Ohio StateUpset

17%
83%

46
20

✗

OSU −14.8

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Vanderbilt

57%
43%

19
17

✓

UK −3.5

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@UAB

53%
47%

41
20

✓

LT −1.8

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Tulsa

28%
72%

37
34

✗

TLSA −8.9

–

–

Final

#14Marshall@Western Michigan

75%
25%

31
17

✓

MRSH −11.4

–

–

Final

Army@Memphis

15%
85%

10
14

✓

MEM −16.0

–

–

Final

#9Michigan@#7Penn State

31%
69%

31
27

✗

PSU −7.3

–

–

Final

#12Michigan State@Northwestern

85%
15%

34
0

✓

MSU −17.2

–

–

Final

Indiana@#25Minnesota

11%
89%

20
44

✓

MINN −19.0

–

–

Final

Tulane@Navy

37%
63%

21
45

✓

NAVY −4.9

–

–

Final

#4Kansas State@#2Nebraska

35%
65%

15
41

✓

NEB −5.6

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Ohio

65%
35%

28
40

✗

M-OH −6.5

–

–

Final

#20Oklahoma@Iowa State

70%
30%

31
10

✓

OU −8.7

–

–

Final

Kansas@Oklahoma State

27%
73%

13
45

✓

OKST −9.3

–

–

Final

#24Oregon@California

67%
33%

24
19

✓

ORE −7.3

–

–

Final

Arizona@Oregon State

34%
66%

20
28

✓

ORST −6.1

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Pittsburgh

62%
38%

27
37

✗

ND −5.5

–

–

Final

#22Syracuse@RutgersUpset

95%
4.7%

21
24

✗

SYR −27.2

–

–

Final

USC@Washington State

73%
27%

31
28

✓

USC −10.1

–

–

Final

Louisiana@#23Southern Miss

0.8%
99%

0
48

✓

USM −38.4

–

–

Final

Stanford@Arizona State

39%
61%

50
30

✗

ASU −4.1

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@#15Texas

14%
86%

7
58

✓

TEX −17.2

–

–

Final

#21Texas A&M@Missouri

62%
38%

51
14

✓

TA&M −5.5

–

–

Final

North Texas@TCU

7.0%
93%

3
27

✓

TCU −23.2

–

–

Final

UTEP@RiceUpset

25%
75%

30
29

✗

RICE −10.4

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Toledo

25%
75%

14
44

✓

TOL −10.2

–

–

Final

Washington@UCLA

57%
43%

20
23

✗

WASH −3.2

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Utah

9.5%
90%

7
52

✓

UTAH −20.5

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Virginia

0.2%
>99%

21
50

✓

UVA −45.0

–

–

Final

#10Miami (FL)@#3Virginia Tech

21%
78%

10
43

✓

VT −12.1

–

–

Final

Iowa@#8Wisconsin

2.0%
98%

3
41

✓

WIS −32.8

–

–

Final

#19BYU@WyomingUpset

64%
36%

17
31

✗

BYU −6.2

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD	Idaho at Montana	Idaho −11.0	74%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD	Cal State Northridge at SMU	SMU −30.2	97%