The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 19 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 20

Wilder than 20% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 5.5 expected

  • Biggest shockWyoming over San Diego State37% chance · won 43-38
  • Runner-upArkansas over LSU43% chance · won 42-24
  • Runner-upArizona over Arizona State44% chance · won 34-20

Thu, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
51%
49%
43
10
✓
UGA −0.9
–
–
Final
63%
37%
28
0
✓
LOU −5.7
–
–
Final
7.6%
92%
9
18
✓
TA&M −22.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
44%
56%
34
20
✗
ASU −1.8
–
–
Final
25%
75%
7
21
✓
NEB −10.3
–
–
Final
5.5%
94%
24
38
✓
UNC −25.3
–
–
Final
24%
76%
7
37
✓
RICE −11.0
–
–
Final
50%
50%
31
18
✓
SYR −0.7
–
–
Final
49%
51%
17
14
✗
WVU −0.1
–
–

Sat, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 10 games

Final
43%
57%
42
24
✗
LSU −2.2
–
–
Final
7.7%
92%
16
47
✓
BYU −22.5
–
–
Final
59%
41%
42
18
✓
CAL −4.1
–
–
Final
74%
26%
33
21
✓
FSU −10.8
–
–
Final
15%
85%
17
21
✓
UL −16.1
–
–
Final
7.9%
92%
17
41
✓
MIA −22.2
–
–
Final
55%
45%
13
20
✗
MISS −2.6
–
–
Final
64%
36%
38
37
✓
PSU −6.2
–
–
Final
1.8%
98%
14
62
✓
TENN −33.4
–
–
Final
37%
63%
43
38
✗
SDSU −4.8
–
–