The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 9 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 47 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 96

Wilder than 96% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 10.3 expected

  • Biggest shockWeber State over Nevada2.0% chance · won 47-30
  • Runner-upBall State over Bowling Green11% chance · won 26-26
  • Runner-upKansas State over Colorado11% chance · won 16-16

Upsets

Sat, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Akron@Temple
82%
18%
31
7
✓
AKR −14.7
–
–
Final
#7Alabama@#25Ole Miss
64%
36%
19
14
✓
ALA −6.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@#21Arizona
29%
71%
6
9
✓
ARIZ −8.3
–
–
Final
Arizona State@StanfordUpset
23%
77%
38
30
✗
STAN −11.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Arkansas State
92%
8.4%
15
15
✓
MSST −22.4
–
–
Final
Army@Boston College
12%
88%
14
41
✓
BC −18.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Bowling Green
10%
90%
26
26
✗
BGSU −19.6
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kent State
71%
29%
33
28
✓
CMU −9.3
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Toledo
54%
46%
31
24
✓
CIN −2.3
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#13Colorado
11%
89%
16
16
✗
COLO −19.6
–
–
Final
Duke@Wake Forest
34%
66%
21
13
✗
WAKE −5.9
–
–
Final
Fresno State@BYU
53%
47%
48
45
✓
FRES −1.6
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Georgia
34%
66%
28
33
✓
UGA −6.2
–
–
Final
Illinois@#9MichiganUpset
13%
87%
24
21
✗
MICH −17.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@Northwestern
66%
34%
24
0
✓
IU −7.0
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Iowa State
48%
52%
17
20
✓
ISU −0.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Northern Illinois
49%
51%
33
19
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Navy@#20Louisville
4.6%
95%
0
28
✓
LOU −26.7
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#2Miami (FL)
6.5%
94%
0
49
✓
MIA −23.9
–
–
Final
Iowa@Michigan State
12%
88%
10
24
✓
MSU −18.3
–
–
Final
#18Wisconsin@MinnesotaUpset
84%
16%
21
28
✗
WIS −16.5
–
–
Final
Missouri@#4Nebraska
5.9%
94%
7
49
✓
NEB −24.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Pacific
40%
60%
27
23
✗
Pacific −3.7
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@NC State
21%
79%
23
28
✓
NCSU −12.4
–
–
Final
#22USC@#3Notre Dame
14%
86%
13
31
✓
ND −17.1
–
–
Final
Ohio@Miami (OH)Upset
17%
84%
22
20
✗
M-OH −15.1
–
–
Final
#5Ohio State@Purdue
89%
11%
45
24
✓
OSU −19.8
–
–
Final
Kansas@#14Oklahoma
8.8%
91%
23
38
✓
OU −21.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
30%
70%
17
20
✓
SDSU −7.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@San Jose State
19%
81%
6
31
✓
SJSU −13.6
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@South Carolina
23%
77%
0
22
✓
SC −11.3
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Southern Miss
23%
77%
16
24
✓
USM −11.1
–
–
Final
SMU@Texas
21%
79%
10
37
✓
TEX −12.3
–
–
Final
#6Texas A&M@Rice
85%
15%
38
10
✓
TA&M −16.9
–
–
Final
TCU@BaylorUpset
16%
84%
38
13
✗
BAY −15.7
–
–
Final
#10UCLA@Oregon State
88%
12%
20
17
✓
UCLA −18.8
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Utah
29%
71%
21
38
✓
UTAH −8.5
–
–
Final
Utah State@UNLV
70%
30%
33
26
✓
USU −8.9
–
–
Final
#17North Carolina@#16Virginia
35%
65%
10
17
✓
UVA −5.7
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#19Virginia Tech
15%
85%
42
49
✓
VT −16.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@#12Washington
14%
86%
6
21
✓
WASH −16.6
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#24West Virginia
4.2%
96%
21
42
✓
WVU −27.3
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
57%
43%
21
20
✓
WMU −3.5
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Wyoming
44%
56%
10
48
✓
WYO −1.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD The Citadel at Air Force Air Force −15.5 84%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD East Tennessee State at Clemson Clemson −35.5 99%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Weber State at Nevada Nevada −32.7 98%