The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 71

Wilder than 71% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 11.1 expected

  • Biggest shockLSU over Alabama3.4% chance · won 17-13
  • Runner-upTulane over Southern Miss16% chance · won 17-15
  • Runner-upWisconsin over Ohio State17% chance · won 14-14

Upsets

Thu, Nov 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
54%
46%
34
16
✓
TEX −2.1
–
–

Sat, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
29%
71%
6
25
✓
AF −8.4
–
–
Final
22%
78%
7
19
✓
AKR −11.8
–
–
Final
31%
69%
10
31
✓
ARIZ −7.5
–
–
Final
46%
54%
0
41
✓
ASU −1.0
–
–
Final
5.5%
94%
14
55
✓
AUB −25.2
–
–
Final
32%
68%
0
21
✓
BALL −7.1
–
–
Final
46%
54%
34
48
✓
BC −1.2
–
–
Final
3.2%
97%
7
40
✓
BGSU −29.4
–
–
Final
33%
67%
38
7
✗
TOL −6.6
–
–
Final
76%
24%
31
14
✓
COLO −12.0
–
–
Final
70%
30%
20
21
✗
NCSU −8.8
–
–
Final
6.4%
94%
14
61
✓
FLA −23.9
–
–
Final
99%
0.6%
49
20
✓
FSU −41.1
–
–
Final
4.5%
96%
10
30
✓
FRES −26.7
–
–
Final
30%
70%
27
37
✓
GT −7.8
–
–
Final
36%
64%
30
41
✓
HAW −5.1
–
–
Final
16%
84%
20
23
✓
ILL −15.5
–
–
Final
23%
77%
20
54
✓
IOWA −11.3
–
–
Final
66%
34%
23
27
✗
KSU −6.9
–
–
Final
LSU@#7AlabamaUpset
3.4%
97%
17
13
✗
ALA −29.0
–
–
Final
43%
57%
3
19
✓
MEM −2.2
–
–
Final
97%
3.3%
35
7
✓
MIA −29.8
–
–
Final
6.0%
94%
10
25
✓
MICH −24.5
–
–
Final
11%
89%
29
31
✓
MSU −18.9
–
–
Final
32%
68%
13
13
✗
MSST −7.2
–
–
Final
86%
14%
21
20
✓
NEB −18.1
–
–
Final
46%
54%
45
46
✓
NEV −1.2
–
–
Final
24%
76%
28
23
✗
LT −11.0
–
–
Final
12%
88%
0
24
✓
UNC −18.0
–
–
Final
17%
83%
14
14
✗
OSU −14.8
–
–
Final
74%
26%
42
23
✓
OU −10.5
–
–
Final
21%
79%
31
38
✓
PSU −12.2
–
–
Final
53%
47%
31
24
✓
RICE −1.8
–
–
Final
18%
82%
20
45
✓
USC −14.2
–
–
Final
2.2%
98%
3
52
✓
SYR −32.0
–
–
Final
23%
77%
10
45
✓
TENN −11.2
–
–
Final
20%
80%
21
49
✓
TTU −12.7
–
–
Final
16%
84%
17
15
✗
USM −15.7
–
–
Final
66%
34%
52
26
✓
TLSA −7.0
–
–
Final
64%
36%
40
27
✓
UCLA −6.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
14%
86%
21
24
✓
USU −16.9
–
–
Final
69%
31%
7
12
✗
UK −8.5
–
–
Final
5.9%
94%
9
21
✓
UVA −24.7
–
–
Final
79%
21%
28
21
✓
WASH −13.5
–
–
Final
9.3%
91%
22
58
✓
WVU −20.7
–
–
Final
67%
33%
34
28
✓
WMU −7.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Louisiana-Monroe at Arkansas State Louisiana-Monroe −5.8 63%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Idaho State at New Mexico New Mexico −27.6 96%