The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 20 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 22

Wilder than 22% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 6.9 expected

  • Biggest shockArizona over Miami (FL)22% chance · won 29-0
  • Runner-upPenn State over Tennessee28% chance · won 31-13
  • Runner-upWisconsin over UCLA43% chance · won 21-16

Upsets

Sat, Dec 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#7Floridavs#14Alabama
57%
43%
28
13
✓
FLA −3.3
–
–

Fri, Dec 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Ball StatevsUtah State
51%
49%
33
42
✗
BALL −1.0
–
–

Fri, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Texas Techvs#12Oklahoma
31%
69%
10
41
✓
OU −7.6
–
–

Sat, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Fresno Statevs#15Colorado
36%
64%
30
41
✓
COLO −5.1
–
–

Tue, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Michigan Statevs#24Louisville
34%
66%
7
18
✓
LOU −6.0
–
–

Wed, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
WyomingvsKansas State
39%
61%
17
52
✓
KSU −4.1
–
–

Thu, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
BYUvs#10Ohio State
17%
83%
21
28
✓
OSU −14.8
–
–
Final
Utahvs#16USC
15%
85%
21
28
✓
USC −15.9
–
–

Fri, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#19North Carolinavs#14Alabama
44%
56%
10
24
✓
ALA −2.0
–
–
Final
IowavsCalifornia
24%
76%
3
37
✓
CAL −10.6
–
–
Final
KentuckyvsClemson
52%
48%
13
14
✗
UK −1.5
–
–
Final
Indianavs#23Virginia Tech
38%
62%
20
45
✓
VT −4.4
–
–

Sat, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 8 games

Final
#3Miami (FL)vs#21ArizonaUpset
78%
22%
0
29
✗
MIA −12.7
–
–
Final
#25Virginiavs#20Boston College
46%
54%
13
31
✓
BC −1.3
–
–
Final
#9West Virginiavs#7Florida
44%
56%
7
41
✓
FLA −2.0
–
–
Final
#5Nebraskavs#1Florida State
25%
75%
16
18
✓
FSU −10.5
–
–
Final
NC Statevs#8Michigan
19%
81%
7
42
✓
MICH −13.8
–
–
Final
#6Texas A&Mvs#4Notre Dame
45%
55%
21
24
✓
ND −1.3
–
–
Final
#2Tennesseevs#13Penn State
72%
28%
13
31
✗
TENN −9.9
–
–
Final
#17Wisconsinvs#11UCLA
43%
57%
21
16
✗
UCLA −2.4
–
–