The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 46 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 64

Wilder than 64% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 13.2 expected

  • Biggest shockCal State Northridge over UNLV1.5% chance · won 24-18
  • Runner-upSan Diego State over Hawaii17% chance · won 45-14
  • Runner-upColorado State over Fresno State18% chance · won 34-32

Upsets

Thu, Oct 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#5Nebraska@Oklahoma State
78%
22%
27
13
✓
NEB −12.8
–
–

Sat, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Miami (OH)@Akron
26%
74%
13
31
✓
AKR −10.9
–
–
Final
Army@Temple
71%
29%
56
21
✓
ARMY −8.9
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Auburn
30%
70%
17
31
✓
AUB −9.0
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball State
43%
57%
30
31
✓
BALL −3.2
–
–
Final
Baylor@SMU
48%
52%
31
12
✗
SMU −0.9
–
–
Final
Boston College@Rutgers
52%
48%
31
21
✓
BC −0.8
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Ohio
83%
17%
20
0
✓
BGSU −15.7
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
38%
62%
23
18
✗
WMU −5.4
–
–
Final
Clemson@Duke
49%
51%
13
10
✗
DUKE −0.6
–
–
Final
Missouri@#16Colorado
9.4%
91%
18
30
✓
COLO −21.9
–
–
Final
#23Fresno State@Colorado StateUpset
82%
18%
32
34
✗
FRES −15.2
–
–
Final
Kent State@Eastern Michigan
31%
70%
15
20
✓
EMU −8.6
–
–
Final
#17Florida@LSU
73%
27%
58
3
✓
FLA −10.1
–
–
Final
#2Miami (FL)@#1Florida State
28%
72%
10
28
✓
FSU −9.6
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Georgia
26%
74%
24
54
✓
UGA −10.5
–
–
Final
Maryland@Georgia Tech
28%
72%
0
38
✓
GT −10.0
–
–
Final
Iowa@Indiana
25%
75%
10
16
✓
IU −11.5
–
–
Final
Kansas@Kansas State
25%
75%
9
10
✓
KSU −11.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Tulane
47%
53%
36
15
✗
TULN −1.3
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Memphis
2.9%
97%
3
45
✓
MEM −31.4
–
–
Final
#11Michigan@Michigan StateUpset
70%
30%
7
17
✗
MICH −8.8
–
–
Final
Purdue@Minnesota
52%
48%
56
59
✗
PUR −0.6
–
–
Final
Air Force@Navy
40%
60%
24
28
✓
NAVY −4.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Utah
58%
42%
42
35
✓
UNM −3.4
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@New Mexico State
44%
56%
17
24
✓
NMSU −2.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#20North Carolina
8.8%
91%
35
45
✓
UNC −22.6
–
–
Final
NC State@Texas Tech
52%
48%
36
34
✓
NCSU −0.9
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#3Notre Dame
0.9%
99%
0
44
✓
ND −39.5
–
–
Final
#4Ohio State@Illinois
84%
16%
20
12
✓
OSU −16.5
–
–
Final
Texas@#8Oklahoma
9.8%
90%
17
38
✓
OU −21.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Oregon State
22%
78%
7
42
✓
ORST −12.8
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
21%
79%
19
34
✓
RICE −13.2
–
–
Final
San Diego State@HawaiiUpset
17%
83%
45
14
✗
HAW −16.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@South Carolina
15%
86%
3
27
✓
SC −17.7
–
–
Final
#25USC@Oregon
48%
52%
24
13
✗
ORE −0.9
–
–
Final
#10Tennessee@Arkansas
80%
20%
28
14
✓
TENN −13.6
–
–
Final
Houston@#12Texas A&M
5.7%
94%
10
34
✓
TA&M −26.2
–
–
Final
BYU@#21UCLA
33%
67%
14
68
✓
UCLA −7.3
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Vanderbilt
42%
58%
7
17
✓
VAN −3.5
–
–
Final
#9Washington@#15California
50%
50%
24
23
✓
WASH −0.1
–
–
Final
Arizona State@Washington State
40%
60%
25
44
✓
WSU −4.5
–
–
Final
#14Louisville@#22West Virginia
45%
55%
34
36
✓
WVU −2.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#24Wisconsin
13%
87%
14
53
✓
WIS −18.5
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEP
58%
42%
33
26
✓
WYO −3.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Cal State Northridge at UNLV UNLV −36.1 98%