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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 25

Wilder than 25% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockYoungstown State over Western Michigan8.7% chance · won 17-13
  • Runner-upSouth Carolina over Georgia23% chance · won 23-21
  • Runner-upUSC over Houston24% chance · won 49-7

Upsets

Thu, Sep 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Akron@Central Michigan
34%
66%
23
13
✗
CMU −5.9
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Auburn
47%
53%
12
16
✓
AUB −0.6
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Iowa State
33%
67%
10
54
✓
ISU −6.2
–
–

Sat, Sep 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 41 games

Final
Tulane@#6Alabama
10%
90%
17
31
✓
ALA −19.1
–
–
Final
UTEP@#17Arizona
17%
83%
6
24
✓
ARIZ −14.2
–
–
Final
Utah@#23Arizona State
34%
66%
0
38
✓
ASU −5.9
–
–
Final
Arkansas@SMU
48%
52%
10
6
✗
SMU −0.2
–
–
Final
#19Fresno State@BaylorUpset
45%
55%
39
42
✓
BAY −1.3
–
–
Final
#20BYU@New Mexico
62%
38%
34
31
✓
BYU −5.3
–
–
Final
California@UCLA
46%
54%
27
25
✗
UCLA −1.0
–
–
Final
UNLV@Clemson
19%
81%
14
24
✓
CLEM −13.3
–
–
Final
Texas@#14Colorado
30%
70%
14
36
✓
COLO −7.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@#18Florida
9.2%
91%
6
44
✓
FLA −20.2
–
–
Final
#1Florida State@Duke
94%
6.5%
45
7
✓
FSU −24.0
–
–
Final
Toledo@Indiana
42%
58%
0
27
✓
IU −2.6
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Iowa
32%
68%
25
26
✓
IOWA −6.7
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Kansas State
28%
72%
10
34
✓
KSU −8.3
–
–
Final
Kent State@Kentucky
24%
76%
0
35
✓
UK −10.4
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Louisville
39%
61%
24
31
✓
LOU −3.8
–
–
Final
#24Memphis@Mississippi State
43%
57%
45
35
✗
MSST −2.2
–
–
Final
#2Miami (FL)@Boston College
77%
23%
23
7
✓
MIA −11.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@#4Michigan
23%
77%
14
41
✓
MICH −10.7
–
–
Final
Ohio@North Carolina
18%
82%
3
44
✓
UNC −13.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@#16NC State
27%
73%
7
20
✓
NCSU −8.9
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#3Notre Dame
11%
89%
12
27
✓
ND −18.4
–
–
Final
Rice@#15Ohio State
26%
74%
7
34
✓
OSU −9.3
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@TCU
59%
41%
35
3
✓
OU −4.0
–
–
Final
Oregon@Colorado State
56%
44%
23
9
✓
ORE −2.7
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Wyoming
33%
67%
27
16
✗
WYO −6.2
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#11Penn State
19%
81%
20
38
✓
PSU −13.2
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Southern Miss
29%
71%
14
10
✗
USM −7.9
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#9GeorgiaUpset
23%
77%
23
21
✗
UGA −10.7
–
–
Final
Houston@USCUpset
76%
24%
7
49
✗
HOU −11.4
–
–
Final
Ball State@#12Syracuse
18%
82%
12
35
✓
SYR −13.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#13Tennessee
25%
75%
0
50
✓
TENN −10.0
–
–
Final
LSU@#10Texas A&M
21%
79%
0
24
✓
TA&M −12.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@Texas Tech
12%
88%
7
55
✓
TTU −17.6
–
–
Final
Utah State@Louisiana
56%
44%
34
13
✓
USU −3.0
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Wake Forest
37%
63%
27
12
✗
WAKE −4.5
–
–
Final
#22Virginia@Maryland
54%
46%
43
29
✓
UVA −2.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Virginia Tech
42%
58%
16
33
✓
VT −2.5
–
–
Final
#8Stanford@#7Washington
36%
64%
14
31
✓
WASH −4.8
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@#25West Virginia
14%
86%
6
48
✓
WVU −16.1
–
–
Final
Nevada@Wisconsin
31%
69%
17
35
✓
WIS −7.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Thu, Sep 2 · TBD Youngstown State at Western Michigan Western Michigan −20.7 91%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Indiana State at Air Force Air Force −31.9 98%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Austin Peay at Cincinnati Cincinnati −20.8 91%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Middle Tennessee at #21 Hawaii Hawaii −15.0 84%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Western Carolina at Kansas Kansas −22.9 93%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD North Texas at #5 Nebraska Nebraska −18.5 89%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −39.3 99%
Sat, Sep 4 · TBD Cal State Northridge at San Diego State San Diego State −40.3 >99%