The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 45

Wilder than 45% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 12.8 expected

  • Biggest shockUNLV over San Jose State10% chance · won 28-14
  • Runner-upArizona State over UCLA17% chance · won 9-3
  • Runner-upClemson over Virginia27% chance · won 23-14

Upsets

Thu, Nov 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
35%
65%
45
44
✗
SDSU −5.8
–
–

Sat, Nov 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
9.2%
91%
25
36
✓
ALA −20.9
–
–
Final
17%
83%
9
3
✗
UCLA −14.5
–
–
Final
46%
54%
11
24
✓
ARK −1.2
–
–
Final
42%
58%
42
28
✗
UGA −2.8
–
–
Final
39%
61%
31
9
✗
AKR −3.8
–
–
Final
41%
59%
14
38
✓
BAY −3.2
–
–
Final
81%
19%
33
0
✓
BC −14.6
–
–
Final
55%
45%
20
24
✗
ARIZ −2.5
–
–
Final
57%
43%
15
17
✗
BGSU −3.5
–
–
Final
58%
42%
41
17
✓
CIN −3.8
–
–
Final
73%
27%
14
23
✗
UVA −10.3
–
–
Final
14%
86%
14
38
✓
COLO −17.1
–
–
Final
50%
50%
52
0
✗
CSU −0.4
–
–
Final
77%
23%
37
26
✓
FLA −12.1
–
–
Final
19%
81%
21
45
✓
FRES −13.4
–
–
Final
54%
46%
38
28
✓
GT −2.0
–
–
Final
45%
55%
23
19
✗
NU −1.6
–
–
Final
23%
77%
21
31
✓
KSU −11.3
–
–
Final
6.3%
94%
3
6
✓
UK −24.1
–
–
Final
14%
86%
9
20
✓
MEM −17.2
–
–
Final
1.8%
98%
17
31
✓
MIA −33.3
–
–
Final
62%
38%
23
14
✓
M-OH −5.4
–
–
Final
81%
19%
58
7
✓
MICH −14.3
–
–
Final
65%
35%
27
24
✓
MSU −6.8
–
–
Final
5.9%
94%
0
44
✓
MISS −24.6
–
–
Final
2.7%
97%
17
49
✓
NEB −30.6
–
–
Final
62%
38%
34
14
✓
NEV −5.4
–
–
Final
10%
90%
28
14
✗
SJSU −19.8
–
–
Final
46%
54%
7
10
✓
UNM −1.2
–
–
Final
94%
6.0%
42
10
✓
UNC −25.3
–
–
Final
9.8%
90%
21
44
✓
NCSU −20.3
–
–
Final
62%
38%
24
31
✗
FSU −5.1
–
–
Final
31%
69%
12
10
✗
EMU −7.2
–
–
Final
15%
85%
17
23
✓
OSU −16.2
–
–
Final
7.4%
93%
0
31
✓
OU −22.7
–
–
Final
22%
78%
6
20
✓
Pacific −11.6
–
–
Final
17%
83%
14
28
✓
PSU −14.9
–
–
Final
40%
60%
22
17
✗
WASH −3.7
–
–
Final
32%
68%
38
34
✗
ORE −6.8
–
–
Final
20%
80%
3
24
✓
TEX −13.1
–
–
Final
22%
78%
7
42
✓
TA&M −11.9
–
–
Final
73%
27%
41
24
✓
TTU −10.3
–
–
Final
35%
65%
24
41
✓
UTAH −5.5
–
–
Final
19%
81%
13
24
✓
USU −13.5
–
–
Final
27%
73%
7
41
✓
VAN −9.1
–
–
Final
23%
77%
24
45
✓
VT −11.5
–
–
Final
99%
0.8%
49
7
✓
WVU −38.8
–
–
Final
31%
69%
26
39
✓
WMU −7.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Lafayette at Army Army −17.5 87%