Week 12 slate, 1993
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 45
Wilder than 45% of weeks in the archive.
14 upsets against 12.8 expected
- Biggest shockUNLV over San Jose State10% chance · won 28-14
- Runner-upArizona State over UCLA17% chance · won 9-3
- Runner-upClemson over Virginia27% chance · won 23-14
Upsets
- Arizona State 9, UCLA 3Arizona State won; the model gave them 17% before kickoff
- Arizona 20, California 24#22 Arizona lost to unranked California
- Virginia 14, Clemson 23#19 Virginia lost to unranked Clemson
- UNLV 28, San Jose State 14UNLV won; the model gave them 10% before kickoff
No games match.
Thu, Nov 11
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Nov 13
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 13 · TBD | Lafayette at |
Army −17.5 | 87% |