The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 44 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 95

Wilder than 95% of weeks in the archive.

17 upsets against 11.5 expected

  • Biggest shockBoston College over Notre Dame13% chance · won 41-39
  • Runner-upArkansas State over Nevada15% chance · won 23-21
  • Runner-upYoungstown State over Akron15% chance · won 19-0

Upsets

Fri, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Eastern Michigan@Toledo
24%
76%
0
14
✓
TOL −10.6
–
–

Sat, Nov 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 41 games

Final
Nevada@Arkansas StateUpset
85%
15%
21
23
✗
NEV −16.7
–
–
Final
#9Alabama@#22Auburn
52%
48%
14
22
✗
ALA −1.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ball State
7.3%
93%
3
28
✓
BALL −22.9
–
–
Final
#21Boston College@#2Notre DameUpset
13%
87%
41
39
✗
ND −17.9
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
41%
59%
46
17
✗
STAN −3.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Cincinnati
11%
89%
14
34
✓
CIN −19.5
–
–
Final
Clemson@South Carolina
39%
61%
16
13
✗
SC −4.1
–
–
Final
#14Colorado@Iowa State
84%
16%
21
16
✓
COLO −16.5
–
–
Final
Colorado State@WyomingUpset
20%
80%
41
21
✗
WYO −13.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#8Florida
6.1%
94%
0
52
✓
FLA −24.4
–
–
Final
NC State@#1Florida State
2.6%
97%
3
62
✓
FSU −30.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Fresno State
24%
76%
37
63
✓
FRES −10.5
–
–
Final
Air Force@Hawaii
32%
68%
17
45
✓
HAW −6.9
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
14%
86%
17
24
✓
IU −16.6
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Iowa
30%
70%
3
21
✓
IOWA −8.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@Kansas
32%
68%
0
28
✓
KU −7.1
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Oklahoma State
61%
39%
21
17
✓
KSU −5.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana@UNLV
60%
40%
31
14
✓
UL −4.7
–
–
Final
Tulane@LSU
12%
88%
10
24
✓
LSU −18.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@Wake Forest
27%
73%
33
32
✗
WAKE −9.3
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Miami (OH)
59%
41%
21
24
✗
CMU −4.0
–
–
Final
#7Ohio State@#10Michigan
44%
56%
0
28
✓
MICH −1.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico@UTEP
80%
20%
35
29
✓
UNM −14.0
–
–
Final
Oregon State@OregonUpset
23%
77%
15
12
✗
ORE −11.4
–
–
Final
Pacific@San Jose StateUpset
18%
82%
24
20
✗
SJSU −14.5
–
–
Final
#13Penn State@Northwestern
87%
13%
43
21
✓
PSU −18.2
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Temple
78%
22%
28
18
✓
PITT −12.8
–
–
Final
SMU@Navy
44%
56%
42
13
✗
NAVY −1.8
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Southern Miss
57%
43%
30
30
✓
TLSA −3.4
–
–
Final
#5Tennessee@Kentucky
80%
20%
48
0
✓
TENN −13.7
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas
29%
71%
17
38
✓
TEX −8.4
–
–
Final
#6Texas A&M@TCU
93%
6.7%
59
3
✓
TA&M −24.3
–
–
Final
Houston@Texas Tech
11%
89%
7
58
✓
TTU −19.2
–
–
Final
#15UCLA@#16USC
40%
60%
27
21
✗
USC −3.5
–
–
Final
Utah@BYU
29%
71%
34
31
✗
BYU −8.5
–
–
Final
Utah State@New Mexico State
66%
34%
20
17
✓
USU −7.3
–
–
Final
#23Virginia Tech@#19Virginia
36%
64%
20
17
✗
UVA −5.1
–
–
Final
Washington State@#18Washington
23%
77%
3
26
✓
WASH −11.2
–
–
Final
#3Miami (FL)@#12West Virginia
60%
40%
14
17
✗
MIA −4.5
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Western Michigan
59%
41%
14
14
✓
BGSU −4.2
–
–
Final
#20Wisconsin@Illinois
56%
44%
35
10
✓
WIS −2.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 20 · TBD UCF at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech −12.8 80%
Sat, Nov 20 · TBD Youngstown State at Akron Akron −15.8 85%