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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 79

Wilder than 79% of weeks in the archive.

18 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockEastern Michigan over Central Michigan13% chance · won 28-21
  • Runner-upTulsa over Memphis18% chance · won 23-19
  • Runner-upMiami (OH) over Toledo22% chance · won 22-19

Upsets

Sat, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Stanford@#19Arizona
21%
79%
24
27
✓
ARIZ −12.2
–
–
Final
#12Florida@AuburnUpset
62%
38%
35
38
✗
FLA −5.3
–
–
Final
Akron@Bowling Green
26%
74%
7
49
✓
BGSU −9.8
–
–
Final
Ball State@Cincinnati
27%
73%
12
44
✓
CIN −9.5
–
–
Final
#18Colorado@#7OklahomaUpset
23%
77%
27
10
✗
OU −11.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@East Carolina
38%
62%
28
31
✓
ECU −4.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Central MichiganUpset
13%
87%
28
21
✗
CMU −17.6
–
–
Final
#13Virginia@#1Florida State
8.1%
92%
14
40
✓
FSU −22.0
–
–
Final
Air Force@#25Fresno State
7.9%
92%
20
33
✓
FRES −22.2
–
–
Final
Georgia@Vanderbilt
50%
50%
41
3
✗
UGA −0.4
–
–
Final
Illinois@Iowa
39%
61%
49
3
✗
IOWA −4.0
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
34%
66%
20
35
✓
KU −6.3
–
–
Final
LSU@Kentucky
15%
85%
17
35
✓
UK −15.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Arkansas State
68%
32%
19
3
✓
UL −7.9
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#17Louisville
5.6%
94%
27
35
✓
LOU −25.1
–
–
Final
Duke@Maryland
54%
46%
18
26
✗
DUKE −2.1
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@ToledoUpset
22%
78%
22
19
✗
TOL −12.1
–
–
Final
#15Michigan@#6Penn State
29%
71%
21
13
✗
PSU −8.5
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Northwestern
30%
70%
28
26
✗
NU −8.0
–
–
Final
Arkansas@Ole Miss
22%
78%
0
19
✓
MISS −12.1
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Mississippi State
45%
55%
0
23
✓
MSST −1.4
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Missouri
49%
51%
9
42
✓
OKST −0.1
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#4Nebraska
5.6%
94%
28
45
✓
NEB −25.1
–
–
Final
Nevada@Utah State
47%
53%
48
44
✗
USU −0.6
–
–
Final
#24North Carolina@Georgia Tech
61%
39%
41
3
✓
UNC −5.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@Northern Illinois
21%
79%
16
21
✓
NIU −12.3
–
–
Final
#3Notre Dame@BYU
80%
20%
45
20
✓
ND −14.1
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ohio
37%
63%
10
15
✓
OHIO −4.9
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#5Ohio State
12%
88%
21
28
✓
OSU −18.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@Arizona State
42%
58%
45
36
✗
ASU −2.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Army
49%
51%
45
38
✗
RUTG −0.2
–
–
Final
Colorado State@San Diego State
15%
85%
3
30
✓
SDSU −15.9
–
–
Final
San Jose State@New Mexico State
53%
47%
52
13
✓
SJSU −1.7
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#22USC
10.0%
90%
9
34
✓
USC −20.1
–
–
Final
Houston@SMU
44%
56%
28
28
✗
SMU −2.0
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Pittsburgh
84%
16%
24
21
✓
SYR −16.0
–
–
Final
#9Alabama@#8Tennessee
37%
63%
17
17
✗
TENN −5.0
–
–
Final
#11Texas A&M@Baylor
74%
26%
34
17
✓
TA&M −10.9
–
–
Final
Tulane@TCU
19%
81%
7
14
✓
TCU −13.7
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas Tech
40%
60%
16
45
✓
TTU −3.4
–
–
Final
Tulsa@MemphisUpset
18%
82%
23
19
✗
MEM −14.2
–
–
Final
#10Washington@#14UCLA
43%
57%
25
39
✓
UCLA −2.2
–
–
Final
Utah@UTEP
48%
52%
45
29
✗
UTEP −0.2
–
–
Final
Temple@#21Virginia Tech
0.5%
>99%
7
55
✓
VT −41.7
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@ClemsonUpset
23%
77%
20
16
✗
CLEM −11.2
–
–
Final
#16California@Washington StateUpset
60%
40%
7
34
✗
CAL −4.5
–
–
Final
#20Wisconsin@Purdue
77%
23%
42
28
✓
WIS −12.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Colgate at Navy Navy −42.7 >99%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Marshall at NC State NC State −19.7 90%