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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 3 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 2

Chaos 10

Wilder than 10% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 12.6 expected

  • Biggest shockLouisville over Memphis20% chance · won 54-28
  • Runner-upLSU over Mississippi State24% chance · won 18-16
  • Runner-upIowa over Iowa State30% chance · won 31-28

Upsets

Thu, Sep 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#13Syracuse@East Carolina
73%
27%
41
22
✓
SYR −10.1
–
–
Final
Temple@Eastern Michigan
68%
32%
31
28
✓
TEM −7.8
–
–

Sat, Sep 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 40 games

Final
Kent State@Akron
6.6%
93%
7
42
✓
AKR −23.0
–
–
Final
#9Alabama@Vanderbilt
65%
35%
17
6
✓
ALA −6.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@#22Arizona
0.5%
>99%
13
16
✓
ARIZ −40.3
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Arkansas
45%
55%
17
18
✓
ARK −1.5
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Bowling Green
30%
70%
7
21
✓
BGSU −7.5
–
–
Final
#25Hawaii@BYUUpset
42%
58%
38
41
✓
BYU −2.5
–
–
Final
San Diego State@California
18%
82%
25
45
✓
CAL −13.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Central Michigan
14%
86%
0
38
✓
CMU −16.0
–
–
Final
Baylor@#12Colorado
20%
80%
21
45
✓
COLO −12.4
–
–
Final
Air Force@Colorado State
54%
46%
5
8
✗
AF −2.2
–
–
Final
#18Florida@Kentucky
60%
40%
24
20
✓
FLA −4.5
–
–
Final
Clemson@#2Florida State
3.1%
97%
0
57
✓
FSU −28.7
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Fresno State
18%
82%
30
48
✓
FRES −13.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Indiana
6.2%
94%
10
28
✓
IU −23.5
–
–
Final
Iowa@Iowa State
30%
70%
31
28
✗
ISU −7.7
–
–
Final
LSU@Mississippi StateUpset
24%
76%
18
16
✗
MSST −10.2
–
–
Final
Louisville@#23MemphisUpset
20%
80%
54
28
✗
MEM −12.5
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Miami (OH)
8.5%
92%
28
29
✓
M-OH −20.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@Michigan State
39%
61%
14
31
✓
MSU −3.7
–
–
Final
Illinois@Missouri
44%
56%
3
31
✓
MIZ −2.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#3Nebraska
8.9%
91%
27
50
✓
NEB −20.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Arkansas State
60%
40%
22
19
✓
NMSU −4.5
–
–
Final
Maryland@#8North Carolina
7.0%
93%
42
59
✓
UNC −22.5
–
–
Final
#20NC State@Wake Forest
72%
28%
34
16
✓
NCSU −9.6
–
–
Final
#7Notre Dame@#4Michigan
30%
70%
27
23
✗
MICH −7.4
–
–
Final
#5Washington@#11Ohio State
51%
49%
12
21
✗
WASH −0.8
–
–
Final
#10Texas A&M@#16Oklahoma
44%
56%
14
44
✓
OU −1.7
–
–
Final
USC@#15Penn State
28%
72%
20
21
✓
PSU −8.7
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Purdue
19%
81%
13
28
✓
PUR −13.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Rice
28%
72%
0
34
✓
RICE −8.3
–
–
Final
Duke@Rutgers
22%
78%
38
39
✓
RUTG −11.5
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#19Stanford
15%
86%
28
31
✓
STAN −16.0
–
–
Final
#24Georgia@#6Tennessee
20%
80%
6
38
✓
TENN −12.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@TCU
55%
45%
34
35
✗
UNM −2.4
–
–
Final
UNLV@UTEP
35%
65%
24
41
✓
UTEP −5.6
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Houston
51%
49%
38
24
✓
TLSA −0.8
–
–
Final
Utah State@Utah
50%
50%
29
31
✓
USU −0.5
–
–
Final
Navy@#17Virginia
8.8%
91%
0
38
✓
UVA −20.6
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Pittsburgh
60%
40%
63
21
✓
VT −4.3
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@SMU
63%
37%
24
16
✓
WIS −5.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Colgate at Army Army −54.1 >99%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Samford at Auburn Auburn −32.1 98%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Illinois State at Ball State Ball State −20.9 92%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Furman at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −27.8 96%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Western Kentucky at Kansas State Kansas State −17.1 87%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Indiana State at Minnesota Minnesota −45.5 >99%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Chattanooga at Ole Miss Ole Miss −37.8 99%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Boise State at Nevada Boise State −5.0 62%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Missouri State at Oklahoma State Oklahoma State −11.0 77%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Montana at Oregon Oregon −32.4 98%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Montana State at Washington State Washington State −32.3 98%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Northern Iowa at Wyoming Wyoming −14.4 83%