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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 6 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 93

Wilder than 93% of weeks in the archive.

18 upsets against 12.5 expected

  • Biggest shockIdaho over Utah6.3% chance · won 28-17
  • Runner-upEastern Michigan over Miami (OH)15% chance · won 15-7
  • Runner-upOregon State over Arizona State19% chance · won 30-14

Upsets

Thu, Sep 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
UCLA@San Diego State
51%
49%
52
13
✓
UCLA −0.2
–
–

Sat, Oct 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
#6Alabama@South Carolina
73%
27%
17
6
✓
ALA −10.2
–
–
Final
#20USC@ArizonaUpset
48%
52%
7
38
✓
ARIZ −0.7
–
–
Final
Arkansas@GeorgiaUpset
22%
78%
20
10
✗
UGA −12.7
–
–
Final
Akron@Army
65%
35%
14
35
✗
AKR −6.4
–
–
Final
Auburn@Vanderbilt
57%
42%
14
10
✓
AUB −3.0
–
–
Final
Ball State@Central Michigan
29%
71%
20
17
✗
CMU −9.1
–
–
Final
Boston College@Syracuse
34%
66%
33
29
✗
SYR −7.0
–
–
Final
Toledo@Bowling Green
25%
75%
10
17
✓
BGSU −11.3
–
–
Final
Oregon@#12California
14%
86%
41
42
✓
CAL −18.4
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Tulsa
33%
67%
22
15
✗
TLSA −7.3
–
–
Final
NC State@Clemson
57%
43%
14
20
✗
NCSU −2.9
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Miami (OH)Upset
15%
85%
15
7
✗
M-OH −17.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#21Florida
18%
82%
24
38
✓
FLA −15.1
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#1Florida State
1.1%
99%
0
51
✓
FSU −37.8
–
–
Final
Baylor@Houston
64%
36%
3
24
✗
BAY −5.9
–
–
Final
Illinois@Purdue
27%
73%
28
10
✗
PUR −10.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@Minnesota
73%
27%
23
19
✓
IU −10.3
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Kansas
31%
69%
6
24
✓
KU −8.4
–
–
Final
#25Ole Miss@KentuckyUpset
59%
41%
0
21
✗
MISS −3.6
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisiana
60%
40%
7
13
✗
USM −4.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@LSU
51%
49%
17
38
✗
USU −0.2
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Louisiana Tech
20%
80%
3
17
✓
LT −13.8
–
–
Final
#18Louisville@Pittsburgh
87%
13%
29
7
✓
LOU −18.6
–
–
Final
Memphis@East Carolina
60%
40%
34
7
✓
MEM −4.0
–
–
Final
Iowa@#10Michigan
7.6%
92%
7
24
✓
MICH −23.8
–
–
Final
UNLV@Nevada
22%
78%
14
49
✓
NEV −13.1
–
–
Final
#19Hawaii@New MexicoUpset
72%
28%
14
41
✗
HAW −9.5
–
–
Final
UTEP@#14North Carolina
2.9%
97%
39
45
✓
UNC −31.6
–
–
Final
#3Notre Dame@Stanford
71%
29%
48
20
✓
ND −8.9
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#5Ohio State
6.8%
93%
3
51
✓
OSU −24.8
–
–
Final
#9Oklahoma@Iowa State
83%
17%
24
7
✓
OU −15.5
–
–
Final
TCU@Oklahoma State
12%
88%
22
27
✓
OKST −20.0
–
–
Final
Arizona State@Oregon StateUpset
81%
19%
14
30
✗
ASU −14.6
–
–
Final
#13Penn State@Maryland
81%
19%
70
7
✓
PSU −14.2
–
–
Final
Temple@Rutgers
9.2%
91%
0
62
✓
RUTG −22.2
–
–
Final
Missouri@SMU
37%
63%
10
10
✗
SMU −5.5
–
–
Final
Duke@#11Tennessee
6.1%
94%
19
52
✓
TENN −25.7
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas
43%
57%
38
55
✓
TEX −3.0
–
–
Final
#16Texas A&M@Texas Tech
64%
36%
31
6
✓
TA&M −5.6
–
–
Final
Navy@Tulane
54%
46%
25
27
✗
NAVY −1.5
–
–
Final
Ohio@#7Virginia
0.5%
>99%
7
41
✓
UVA −42.5
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#8Washington
5.7%
94%
17
52
✓
WASH −26.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Pacific
76%
24%
12
0
✓
WSU −11.8
–
–
Final
#17Virginia Tech@#22West Virginia
42%
58%
13
14
✓
WVU −3.4
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Kent State
74%
26%
27
21
✓
WMU −10.8
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Air Force
43%
57%
31
18
✗
AF −2.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 2 · TBD Idaho at Utah Utah −25.4 94%
Sat, Oct 2 · TBD Georgia Southern at #2 Miami (FL) Miami (FL) −41.6 99%
Sat, Oct 2 · TBD Southern Illinois at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −36.8 99%