The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1993

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 78

Wilder than 78% of weeks in the archive.

20 upsets against 14.6 expected

  • Biggest shockPittsburgh over Rutgers14% chance · won 21-10
  • Runner-upArizona State over Washington26% chance · won 32-17
  • Runner-upLSU over Ole Miss27% chance · won 19-17

Upsets

Thu, Oct 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
14%
86%
21
10
✗
RUTG −17.2
–
–

Sat, Oct 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
23%
77%
10
31
✓
AF −11.1
–
–
Final
4.1%
96%
0
40
✓
ALA −27.6
–
–
Final
74%
26%
17
32
✗
WASH −10.7
–
–
Final
60%
40%
31
21
✓
AUB −4.6
–
–
Final
54%
46%
18
13
✓
BALL −2.2
–
–
Final
2.8%
97%
14
42
✓
BC −30.4
–
–
Final
74%
26%
30
25
✓
BGSU −10.6
–
–
Final
51%
49%
20
23
✗
MEM −0.9
–
–
Final
22%
78%
0
29
✓
CLEM −11.9
–
–
Final
67%
33%
20
21
✗
UNM −7.3
–
–
Final
21%
79%
26
33
✓
FLA −12.7
–
–
Final
0.3%
>99%
0
54
✓
FSU −44.4
–
–
Final
42%
58%
47
14
✗
DUKE −2.6
–
–
Final
11%
89%
13
20
✓
ILL −19.2
–
–
Final
41%
59%
0
10
✓
IU −3.0
–
–
Final
39%
61%
17
26
✓
IOWA −3.8
–
–
Final
42%
58%
13
6
✗
OKST −2.9
–
–
Final
69%
31%
7
21
✗
OU −8.3
–
–
Final
48%
52%
26
17
✗
MSST −0.2
–
–
Final
52%
48%
13
24
✗
SJSU −1.1
–
–
Final
73%
27%
17
19
✗
MISS −10.2
–
–
Final
37%
63%
16
17
✓
LT −5.0
–
–
Final
<0.1%
>99%
7
42
✓
MIA −59.1
–
–
Final
26%
74%
34
37
✓
MIZ −9.9
–
–
Final
59%
41%
21
17
✓
NEB −4.0
–
–
Final
Nevada@Pacific
68%
32%
31
23
✓
NEV −7.7
–
–
Final
48%
52%
52
40
✗
UNLV −0.4
–
–
Final
66%
34%
29
34
✗
UVA −6.9
–
–
Final
0.7%
99%
27
58
✓
ND −39.1
–
–
Final
71%
29%
13
21
✗
AKR −9.4
–
–
Final
33%
67%
6
24
✓
OSU −6.7
–
–
Final
47%
53%
23
46
✓
ORE −0.7
–
–
Final
38%
62%
42
14
✗
CAL −4.2
–
–
Final
20%
80%
27
31
✓
STAN −13.0
–
–
Final
10%
90%
3
55
✓
TENN −19.7
–
–
Final
1.9%
98%
13
37
✓
TA&M −33.0
–
–
Final
43%
57%
10
28
✓
TCU −2.4
–
–
Final
37%
63%
31
22
✗
TEX −4.6
–
–
Final
72%
28%
45
27
✓
TOL −9.9
–
–
Final
28%
72%
17
37
✓
UCLA −8.8
–
–
Final
57%
43%
41
45
✗
SDSU −3.2
–
–
Final
56%
44%
56
58
✗
BYU −2.8
–
–
Final
3.9%
96%
12
31
✓
VT −27.9
–
–
Final
53%
47%
43
0
✓
WVU −1.8
–
–
Final
37%
63%
20
7
✗
ARMY −4.8
–
–
Final
53%
47%
10
13
✗
MICH −1.8
–
–
Final
50%
50%
28
32
✗
FRES −0.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Middle Tennessee at Tulsa Tulsa −15.9 85%