Week 14 slate, 2006

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 17 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Central Michigan@Ohio

53%
46%

31
10

✓

CMU −1.9

–

–

Fri, Dec 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Southern Miss@Houston

40%
60%

20
34

✓

HOU −3.4

–

–

Sat, Dec 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 3 games

Final

UConn@#3Louisville

3.9%
96%

17
48

✓

LOU −28.0

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Georgia Tech

39%
61%

9
6

✗

GT −3.8

–

–

Final

Army@Navy

9.2%
91%

14
26

✓

NAVY −20.9

–

–

Afternoon 7 games

Final

Stanford@#9California

2.5%
98%

17
26

✓

CAL −31.2

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@New Mexico State

28%
72%

23
50

✓

NMSU −8.9

–

–

Final

Air Force@#23TCU

18%
82%

14
38

✓

TCU −14.0

–

–

Final

Fresno State@San Jose State

51%
49%

14
24

✗

FRES −0.9

–

–

Final

#2USC@UCLAUpset

78%
22%

9
13

✗

USC −12.5

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Louisiana

36%
64%

39
20

✗

UL −5.3

–

–

Final

#22Arkansas@#10Florida

30%
70%

28
38

✓

FLA −7.7

–

–

Prime time 3 games

Final

#21Rutgers@#7West Virginia

29%
71%

39
41

✓

WVU −8.5

–

–

Final

Colorado State@San Diego State

56%
44%

6
17

✗

CSU −3.1

–

–

Final

#19Nebraska@#12Oklahoma

34%
66%

7
21

✓

OU −6.0

–

–

Sun, Dec 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Oregon State@#24HawaiiUpset

31%
69%

35
32

✗

HAW −7.6

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Troy@FIU

71%
29%

26
13

✓

TROY −9.1

–

–