The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 2001

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 25 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 33

Wilder than 33% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 9.4 expected

  • Biggest shockMichigan State over Fresno State32% chance · won 44-35
  • Runner-upSyracuse over Kansas State37% chance · won 26-3
  • Runner-upGeorgia Tech over Stanford41% chance · won 24-14

Upsets

Tue, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
North TexasvsColorado State
24%
76%
20
45
✓
CSU −10.9
–
–

Wed, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
East CarolinavsMarshall
46%
54%
61
64
✓
MRSH −1.0
–
–

Thu, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
PittsburghvsNC State
43%
57%
34
19
✗
NCSU −2.4
–
–

Tue, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final
#23USCvsUtahUpset
54%
46%
6
10
✗
USC −2.1
–
–

Thu, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final
Georgia Techvs#19StanfordUpset
41%
59%
24
14
✗
STAN −3.1
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
AlabamavsIowa State
58%
42%
14
13
✓
ALA −3.5
–
–

Fri, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final
TCUvsTexas A&M
38%
62%
9
28
✓
TA&M −4.2
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
#21Boston Collegevs#18Georgia
47%
53%
20
16
✗
UGA −0.7
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
Washingtonvs#3Texas
13%
87%
43
47
✓
TEX −17.6
–
–

Sat, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final
CincinnativsToledo
35%
65%
16
23
✓
TOL −5.8
–
–

Afternoon 2 games

Final
Iowavs#24Texas TechUpset
48%
52%
19
16
✗
TTU −0.3
–
–
Final
#15Syracusevs#7Kansas State
37%
63%
26
3
✗
KSU −5.0
–
–

Mon, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final
ClemsonvsLouisiana Tech
57%
43%
49
24
✓
CLEM −3.4
–
–
Final
PurduevsWashington State
35%
65%
27
33
✓
WSU −5.7
–
–

Afternoon 2 games

Final
Michigan Statevs#13Fresno StateUpset
32%
68%
44
35
✗
FRES −7.1
–
–
Final
Louisvillevs#25BYUUpset
46%
54%
28
10
✗
BYU −1.2
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
North CarolinavsAuburn
61%
39%
16
10
✓
UNC −4.9
–
–

Tue, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 4 games

Final
Arkansasvs#5Oklahoma
14%
86%
3
10
✓
OU −16.8
–
–
Final
#22Ohio StatevsSouth CarolinaUpset
52%
48%
28
31
✗
OSU −1.3
–
–
Final
#8Florida Statevs#6Virginia Tech
43%
57%
30
17
✗
VT −2.5
–
–
Final
#10Michiganvs#9Tennessee
47%
53%
17
45
✓
TENN −0.7
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
#11Coloradovs#12Oregon
51%
49%
16
38
✗
COLO −0.9
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
#20LSUvs#14Illinois
44%
56%
47
34
✗
ILL −2.0
–
–

Wed, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#17Marylandvs#2Florida
16%
84%
23
56
✓
FLA −15.3
–
–

Thu, Jan 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#4Nebraskavs#1Miami (FL)
23%
77%
14
37
✓
MIA −11.4
–
–