The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 2001

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 7

Wilder than 7% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 13.1 expected

  • Biggest shockTemple over West Virginia16% chance · won 17-14
  • Runner-upLouisiana-Monroe over Arkansas State24% chance · won 16-7
  • Runner-upAlabama over Auburn41% chance · won 31-7

Upsets

Thu, Nov 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#23Louisville@East Carolina
48%
52%
39
34
✗
ECU −0.1
–
–

Sat, Nov 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 21 games

Final
Bowling Green@Northwestern
45%
55%
43
42
✗
NU −1.4
–
–
Final
#24Georgia Tech@Wake Forest
67%
33%
38
33
✓
GT −7.5
–
–
Final
#22Boston College@Rutgers
94%
5.8%
38
7
✓
BC −25.5
–
–
Final
#15Illinois@#21Ohio State
44%
56%
34
22
✗
OSU −1.8
–
–
Final
Indiana@Penn State
42%
58%
14
28
✓
PSU −2.9
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Purdue
43%
57%
14
24
✓
PUR −2.5
–
–
Final
#9Tennessee@Kentucky
87%
13%
38
35
✓
TENN −18.6
–
–
Final
Georgia@Ole Miss
43%
57%
35
15
✗
MISS −2.2
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
63%
37%
49
7
✓
ISU −5.9
–
–
Final
Temple@West VirginiaUpset
16%
84%
17
14
✗
WVU −15.7
–
–
Final
Akron@Buffalo
61%
39%
41
14
✓
AKR −4.9
–
–
Final
Clemson@South Carolina
27%
73%
15
20
✓
SC −9.1
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Iowa
20%
80%
24
42
✓
IOWA −12.8
–
–
Final
Duke@North Carolina
1.9%
98%
17
52
✓
UNC −33.1
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Arkansas
29%
71%
21
24
✓
ARK −8.3
–
–
Final
Army@Memphis
17%
83%
10
42
✓
MEM −14.6
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Baylor
60%
40%
38
22
✓
OKST −4.6
–
–
Final
Ball State@Northern Illinois
18%
82%
29
33
✓
NIU −14.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#11Kansas State
12%
88%
7
40
✓
KSU −18.4
–
–
Final
Navy@Notre Dame
4.5%
96%
16
34
✓
ND −26.9
–
–
Final
SMU@Tulsa
56%
44%
24
14
✓
SMU −2.9
–
–

Afternoon 18 games

Final
Colorado State@New Mexico
45%
55%
24
17
✗
UNM −1.5
–
–
Final
Ohio@Marshall
8.0%
92%
18
42
✓
MRSH −22.1
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Louisiana
75%
25%
49
46
✓
NMSU −11.1
–
–
Final
UNLV@Air Force
45%
55%
34
10
✗
AF −1.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Arkansas StateUpset
24%
76%
16
7
✗
ARST −10.6
–
–
Final
UConn@Middle Tennessee
7.0%
93%
14
38
✓
MTSU −23.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Southern Miss
14%
86%
6
59
✓
USM −16.7
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
9.0%
91%
17
20
✓
WMU −21.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Boise State
15%
85%
6
56
✓
BOIS −16.0
–
–
Final
#25Fresno State@Nevada
90%
10%
61
14
✓
FRES −20.6
–
–
Final
Alabama@Auburn
41%
59%
31
7
✗
AUB −3.2
–
–
Final
California@#16Stanford
3.0%
97%
28
35
✓
STAN −29.8
–
–
Final
#6Virginia Tech@Virginia
89%
11%
31
17
✓
VT −19.9
–
–
Final
#20Washington State@WashingtonUpset
52%
48%
14
26
✗
WSU −1.2
–
–
Final
#8Michigan@Wisconsin
72%
28%
20
17
✓
MICH −9.9
–
–
Final
#14Syracuse@#1Miami (FL)
7.6%
92%
0
59
✓
MIA −22.6
–
–
Final
#5Oklahoma@#18Texas Tech
65%
35%
30
13
✓
OU −6.4
–
–
Final
#12UCLA@USCUpset
55%
45%
0
27
✗
UCLA −2.4
–
–

Prime time 4 games

Final
#19Maryland@NC State
51%
49%
23
19
✓
MD −0.9
–
–
Final
#7Florida State@#2Florida
21%
79%
13
37
✓
FLA −12.6
–
–
Final
UTEP@Rice
14%
86%
17
27
✓
RICE −17.0
–
–
Final
UAB@Houston
82%
18%
43
21
✓
UAB −14.8
–
–

Late night 3 games

Final
North Texas@Idaho
72%
28%
50
27
✓
UNT −10.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@San Diego State
35%
65%
16
38
✓
SDSU −5.7
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Hawaii
44%
56%
51
52
✓
HAW −1.7
–
–

Sun, Nov 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Utah@#13BYU
31%
69%
21
24
✓
BYU −7.6
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Toledo
0.9%
99%
7
28
✓
TOL −37.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 17 · 4:30 PM ET Northern Arizona at Oregon State Oregon State −36.6 99%
Sat, Nov 17 · 3:05 PM ET Weber State at Utah State Utah State −38.2 99%
Sat, Nov 17 · 12:30 PM ET Jacksonville State at Troy Troy −10.0 74%