The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1990

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 23 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 42

Wilder than 42% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 5.7 expected

  • Biggest shockVirginia Tech over Virginia23% chance · won 38-13
  • Runner-upMinnesota over Iowa25% chance · won 31-24
  • Runner-upTemple over Boston College38% chance · won 29-10

Upsets

Thu, Nov 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
West Virginia@South Carolina
33%
67%
10
29
✓
SC −6.4
–
–

Fri, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#3Nebraska@#13Oklahoma
55%
45%
10
45
✗
NEB −2.3
–
–

Sat, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 21 games

Final
Arizona State@Arizona
34%
66%
17
21
✓
ARIZ −6.1
–
–
Final
Arkansas@SMU
73%
27%
42
29
✓
ARK −10.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@#6BYU
1.6%
98%
10
45
✓
BYU −34.2
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Hawaii
38%
62%
30
27
✗
HAW −4.2
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#24Illinois
3.2%
97%
23
28
✓
ILL −29.3
–
–
Final
Indiana@Purdue
75%
25%
28
14
✓
IU −11.2
–
–
Final
Tulane@LSU
32%
68%
13
16
✓
LSU −7.1
–
–
Final
#25Syracuse@#1Miami (FL)
7.5%
92%
7
33
✓
MIA −22.7
–
–
Final
#7Michigan@#23Ohio State
57%
43%
16
13
✓
MICH −3.4
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#18Michigan State
3.0%
97%
9
14
✓
MSU −29.8
–
–
Final
#21Iowa@MinnesotaUpset
76%
24%
24
31
✗
IOWA −11.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
30%
70%
9
21
✓
MISS −7.7
–
–
Final
#9Notre Dame@#17USC
46%
54%
10
6
✗
USC −1.2
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#14Penn State
9.4%
91%
17
22
✓
PSU −20.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@San Diego State
9.8%
90%
31
58
✓
SDSU −20.2
–
–
Final
Temple@Boston College
38%
62%
29
10
✗
BC −4.3
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#10Tennessee
3.9%
96%
28
42
✓
TENN −28.0
–
–
Final
#11Texas@Baylor
71%
29%
23
13
✓
TEX −9.1
–
–
Final
TCU@#20Texas A&M
11%
89%
10
56
✓
TA&M −19.0
–
–
Final
#8Virginia@Virginia TechUpset
77%
23%
13
38
✗
UVA −12.3
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Vanderbilt
50%
50%
56
28
✗
WAKE −0.5
–
–