Week 12 slate, 1990
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 88
Wilder than 88% of weeks in the archive.
15 upsets against 11.2 expected
- Biggest shockUCLA over Washington5.3% chance · won 25-22
- Runner-upTulane over Syracuse9.0% chance · won 26-24
- Runner-upNavy over Toledo11% chance · won 14-10
Upsets
- Oregon 3, California 28#20 Oregon lost to unranked California
- Navy 14, Toledo 10Navy won; the model gave them 12% before kickoff
- Ohio State 27, Iowa 26#21 Iowa lost to unranked Ohio State
- Southern Miss 13, Auburn 12#25 Auburn lost to unranked Southern Miss
- Temple 28, Pittsburgh 18Temple won; the model gave them 22% before kickoff
- Tulane 26, Syracuse 24Tulane won; the model gave them 9% before kickoff
- UCLA 25, Washington 22UCLA won; the model gave them 5% before kickoff
No games match.
Sat, Nov 10
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 49 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 10 · TBD | Cal State Northridge at Long Beach State | Long Beach State −11.0 | 76% |
| Sat, Nov 10 · TBD | Southern Illinois at |
South Carolina −38.2 | 99% |