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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1990

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 2

Wilder than 2% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 11.9 expected

  • Biggest shockBoston College over West Virginia21% chance · won 27-14
  • Runner-upBaylor over TCU37% chance · won 27-21
  • Runner-upPenn State over Alabama41% chance · won 9-0

Upsets

Sat, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Utah@Air Force
27%
73%
21
52
✓
AF −9.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Arizona
32%
68%
34
42
✓
ARIZ −7.1
–
–
Final
#14Auburn@Mississippi State
73%
27%
17
16
✓
AUB −10.2
–
–
Final
Baylor@TCU
36%
64%
27
21
✗
TCU −5.0
–
–
Final
Boston College@West VirginiaUpset
21%
79%
27
14
✗
WVU −12.3
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Eastern Michigan
75%
25%
16
12
✓
CMU −11.2
–
–
Final
#11Clemson@Wake Forest
88%
12%
24
6
✓
CLEM −18.9
–
–
Final
#13Oklahoma@#7Colorado
32%
68%
23
32
✓
COLO −6.8
–
–
Final
LSU@#8Florida State
14%
86%
3
42
✓
FSU −17.1
–
–
Final
Duke@#25Georgia Tech
12%
88%
31
48
✓
GT −18.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@Hawaii
5.2%
95%
24
35
✓
HAW −25.7
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#9Houston
8.7%
91%
28
62
✓
HOU −21.4
–
–
Final
#23Illinois@Wisconsin
87%
13%
21
3
✓
ILL −18.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Iowa
7.5%
92%
14
56
✓
IOWA −22.7
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Kansas
40%
60%
24
27
✓
KU −3.7
–
–
Final
Georgia@Kentucky
48%
52%
24
26
✓
UK −0.4
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Long Beach State
29%
71%
35
37
✓
Long Beach State −8.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Memphis
35%
65%
6
20
✓
MEM −5.7
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@Texas Tech
91%
9.1%
45
10
✓
MIA −21.8
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Miami (OH)
45%
55%
10
10
✗
M-OH −1.6
–
–
Final
#10Michigan@#16Indiana
47%
53%
45
19
✗
IU −0.8
–
–
Final
Purdue@#20Michigan State
5.0%
95%
33
55
✓
MSU −26.0
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Vanderbilt
83%
17%
14
13
✓
MISS −15.7
–
–
Final
#2Nebraska@Iowa State
86%
14%
45
13
✓
NEB −17.4
–
–
Final
Maryland@North Carolina
46%
54%
10
34
✓
UNC −0.9
–
–
Final
South Carolina@NC State
36%
64%
29
38
✓
NCSU −5.3
–
–
Final
#6Notre Dame@Pittsburgh
75%
25%
31
22
✓
ND −11.4
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Ohio State
20%
80%
23
52
✓
OSU −12.9
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma State
56%
44%
28
48
✗
MIZ −2.9
–
–
Final
Stanford@#22Oregon
20%
80%
0
31
✓
ORE −12.7
–
–
Final
#18Penn State@#21Alabama
41%
59%
9
0
✗
ALA −3.1
–
–
Final
Akron@Rutgers
46%
54%
17
20
✓
RUTG −1.1
–
–
Final
#15USC@Arizona State
76%
24%
13
6
✓
USC −11.8
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Army
87%
13%
26
14
✓
SYR −18.5
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Temple
53%
47%
27
30
✗
ECU −1.7
–
–
Final
SMU@#24Texas
2.5%
98%
3
52
✓
TEX −31.2
–
–
Final
Rice@#17Texas A&M
13%
87%
15
41
✓
TA&M −17.7
–
–
Final
Kent State@Toledo
5.9%
94%
14
28
✓
TOL −24.6
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Tulane
15%
85%
7
49
✓
TULN −16.4
–
–
Final
Tulsa@New Mexico State
75%
25%
35
10
✓
TLSA −11.1
–
–
Final
Oregon State@UCLA
8.4%
92%
17
26
✓
UCLA −21.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@Utah State
43%
57%
6
31
✓
USU −2.3
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Virginia Tech
51%
49%
16
20
✗
USM −1.0
–
–
Final
California@#4Washington
9.7%
90%
7
46
✓
WASH −20.4
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ohio
79%
21%
31
23
✓
WMU −13.2
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEP
79%
21%
17
10
✓
WYO −13.3
–
–

Mon, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
New Mexico@#12BYU
3.1%
97%
31
55
✓
BYU −29.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD Indiana State at Ball State Ball State −31.8 98%
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD James Madison at Navy Navy −2.5 57%
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD Stephen F. Austin at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech −32.7 98%
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD Western Kentucky at Louisville Louisville −25.5 95%