Bowls slate, 2009

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 34 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Sat, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Fresno StatevsWyoming

75%
25%

28
35

✗

FRES −11.1

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

UCFvsRutgers

36%
64%

24
45

✓

RUTG −5.1

–

–

Sun, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Southern MissvsMiddle Tennessee

53%
47%

32
42

✗

USM −1.6

–

–

Tue, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#22Oregon Statevs#24BYU

50%
50%

20
44

✗

ORST −0.6

–

–

Wed, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UtahvsCalifornia

57%
43%

37
27

✓

UTAH −3.3

–

–

Thu, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

NevadavsSMUUpset

79%
21%

10
45

✗

NEV −13.2

–

–

Sat, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

MarshallvsOhio

38%
62%

21
17

✗

OHIO −4.5

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

#20PittsburghvsNorth Carolina

59%
41%

19
17

✓

PITT −4.0

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

Boston Collegevs#18USC

33%
67%

13
24

✓

USC −6.7

–

–

Sun, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Kentuckyvs#15Clemson

28%
72%

13
21

✓

CLEM −9.1

–

–

Mon, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Texas A&MvsGeorgia

43%
57%

20
44

✓

UGA −2.3

–

–

Tue, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

UCLAvsTemple

56%
44%

30
21

✓

UCLA −2.7

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#16Miami (FL)vsWisconsinUpset

62%
38%

14
20

✗

MIA −5.3

–

–

Wed, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Bowling GreenvsIdahoUpset

81%
19%

42
43

✗

BGSU −14.2

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

Arizonavs#12Nebraska

35%
65%

0
33

✓

NEB −5.6

–

–

Thu, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

HoustonvsAir Force

54%
46%

20
47

✗

HOU −2.0

–

–

Final

#5Oklahomavs#21Stanford

72%
28%

31
27

✓

OU −9.6

–

–

Afternoon 2 games

Final

NavyvsMissouri

39%
61%

35
13

✗

MIZ −4.0

–

–

Final

MinnesotavsIowa State

49%
51%

13
14

✓

PK

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#7Virginia Techvs#25Tennessee

68%
32%

37
14

✓

VT −8.1

–

–

Fri, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 3 games

Final

NorthwesternvsAuburn

27%
73%

35
38

✓

AUB −9.4

–

–

Final

West VirginiavsFlorida State

55%
45%

21
33

✗

WVU −2.3

–

–

Final

#11Penn Statevs#17LSU

56%
44%

19
17

✓

PSU −2.8

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

#9Ohio Statevs#8Oregon

46%
54%

26
17

✗

ORE −1.2

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#13Cincinnativs#2Florida

28%
72%

24
51

✓

FLA −9.0

–

–

Sat, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 3 games

Final

USFvsNorthern Illinois

58%
42%

27
3

✓

USF −3.9

–

–

Final

South CarolinavsUConn

43%
57%

7
20

✓

CONN −2.2

–

–

Final

#23Oklahoma StatevsOle MissUpset

52%
48%

7
21

✗

OKST −1.1

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

#19ArkansasvsEast Carolina

68%
32%

20
17

✓

ARK −7.7

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

Michigan Statevs#10Texas Tech

22%
78%

31
41

✓

TTU −12.1

–

–

Mon, Jan 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#6Boise Statevs#3TCU

36%
64%

17
10

✗

TCU −5.2

–

–

Tue, Jan 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Iowavs#14Georgia TechUpset

37%
63%

24
14

✗

GT −4.6

–

–

Thu, Jan 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#1Texasvs#4Alabama

61%
39%

21
37

✗

TEX −5.1

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Central MichiganvsTroy

60%
40%

44
41

✓

CMU −4.4

–

–