Week 8 slate, 2009

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Tulsa@UTEPUpset

76%
24%

24
28

✗

TLSA −11.6

–

–

Fri, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Florida State@North Carolina

47%
53%

30
27

✗

UNC −0.8

–

–

Sat, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 17 games

Final

Indiana@Northwestern

28%
72%

28
29

✓

NU −8.9

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Bowling Green

56%
44%

24
10

✓

CMU −2.8

–

–

Final

Minnesota@#12Ohio State

14%
86%

7
38

✓

OSU −16.7

–

–

Final

USF@#23Pittsburgh

36%
64%

14
41

✓

PITT −5.3

–

–

Final

#21Georgia Tech@Virginia

61%
39%

34
9

✓

GT −5.1

–

–

Final

UAB@Marshall

32%
68%

7
27

✓

MRSH −7.1

–

–

Final

UConn@West Virginia

34%
66%

24
28

✓

WVU −6.0

–

–

Final

Illinois@Purdue

19%
81%

14
24

✓

PUR −13.7

–

–

Final

Arkansas@#22Ole Miss

36%
64%

17
30

✓

MISS −5.1

–

–

Final

Iowa State@#11NebraskaUpset

12%
88%

9
7

✗

NEB −18.0

–

–

Final

#24Oklahoma State@Baylor

64%
36%

34
7

✓

OKST −6.3

–

–

Final

Colorado@Kansas State

37%
63%

6
20

✓

KSU −4.9

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Miami (OH)

83%
17%

27
22

✓

NIU −15.7

–

–

Final

Ball State@Eastern Michigan

60%
40%

29
27

✓

BALL −4.4

–

–

Final

Maryland@Duke

28%
72%

13
17

✓

DUKE −8.8

–

–

Final

Kent State@OhioUpset

24%
76%

20
11

✗

OHIO −10.5

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Western Michigan

38%
62%

31
34

✓

WMU −4.4

–

–

Afternoon 19 games

Final

Louisiana Tech@Utah State

52%
48%

21
23

✗

LT −1.3

–

–

Final

Boston College@Notre Dame

36%
64%

16
20

✓

ND −5.0

–

–

Final

#14Penn State@Michigan

64%
36%

35
10

✓

PSU −6.2

–

–

Final

Akron@Syracuse

36%
64%

14
28

✓

SYR −5.0

–

–

Final

UCF@Rice

62%
38%

49
7

✓

UCF −5.4

–

–

Final

#9Oregon@Washington

81%
19%

43
19

✓

ORE −14.4

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#3Alabama

14%
86%

10
12

✓

ALA −17.1

–

–

Final

Louisville@#13Cincinnati

5.5%
94%

10
41

✓

CIN −25.2

–

–

Final

#4Oklahoma@#25Kansas

67%
33%

35
13

✓

OU −7.3

–

–

Final

#15Clemson@#20Miami (FL)

43%
57%

40
37

✗

MIA −2.4

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Middle Tennessee

12%
88%

24
62

✓

MTSU −18.3

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Navy

28%
72%

10
13

✓

NAVY −8.7

–

–

Final

North Texas@Troy

12%
88%

26
50

✓

TROY −18.7

–

–

Final

San Diego State@Colorado State

26%
74%

42
28

✗

CSU −9.9

–

–

Final

Air Force@#19Utah

27%
73%

16
23

✓

UTAH −9.3

–

–

Final

Idaho@Nevada

13%
87%

45
70

✓

NEV −17.4

–

–

Final

Washington State@California

3.5%
96%

17
49

✓

CAL −28.7

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Louisiana

38%
62%

51
29

✗

UL −4.6

–

–

Final

UCLA@Arizona

29%
72%

13
27

✓

ARIZ −8.6

–

–

Prime time 11 games

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Kentucky

17%
84%

13
36

✓

UK −15.1

–

–

Final

#17Iowa@Michigan State

56%
44%

15
13

✓

IOWA −2.8

–

–

Final

FIU@Arkansas State

23%
77%

10
27

✓

ARST −11.5

–

–

Final

Tulane@Southern Miss

8.3%
92%

6
43

✓

USM −21.8

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@South Carolina

19%
81%

10
14

✓

SC −13.5

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@#8Texas TechUpset

6.2%
94%

52
30

✗

TTU −24.3

–

–

Final

Temple@Toledo

52%
48%

40
24

✓

TEM −1.4

–

–

Final

Auburn@#16LSU

32%
68%

10
31

✓

LSU −6.9

–

–

Final

SMU@Houston

12%
88%

15
38

✓

HOU −17.9

–

–

Final

#6TCU@#18BYU

59%
41%

38
7

✓

TCU −4.0

–

–

Final

#2Florida@Mississippi State

89%
11%

29
19

✓

FLA −20.0

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Fresno State@New Mexico State

91%
9.3%

34
3

✓

FRES −21.5

–

–

Final

Arizona State@Stanford

35%
65%

14
33

✓

STAN −5.6

–

–

Final

#7Boise State@Hawaii

94%
6.3%

54
9

✓

BOIS −24.8

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Rutgers@Army

73%
27%

27
10

✓

RUTG −10.1

–

–

Sun, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final

Oregon State@#5USC

12%
88%

36
42

✓

USC −18.0

–

–

Final

#1Texas@Missouri

78%
22%

41
7

✓

TEX −12.5

–

–

Final

UNLV@New Mexico

57%
43%

34
17

✓

UNLV −3.3

–

–