The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 2008

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 34 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 18

Wilder than 18% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockOle Miss over Texas Tech24% chance · won 47-34
  • Runner-upVanderbilt over Boston College39% chance · won 16-14
  • Runner-upLouisiana Tech over Northern Illinois39% chance · won 17-10

Upsets

Sat, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final
Wake ForestvsNavy
53%
47%
29
19
✓
WAKE −1.7
–
–
Final
Colorado StatevsFresno State
44%
56%
40
35
✗
FRES −2.1
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
MemphisvsUSF
21%
79%
14
41
✓
USF −12.6
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
#21BYUvs#18Arizona
42%
58%
21
31
✓
ARIZ −2.7
–
–

Sun, Dec 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
Southern MissvsTroy
42%
58%
30
27
✗
TROY −2.9
–
–

Tue, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#10Boise Statevs#7TCU
46%
54%
16
17
✓
TCU −1.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
HawaiivsNotre Dame
39%
61%
21
49
✓
ND −3.8
–
–

Fri, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
Florida AtlanticvsCentral Michigan
40%
60%
24
21
✗
CMU −3.5
–
–

Sat, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final
#20West VirginiavsNorth Carolina
56%
44%
31
30
✓
WVU −2.8
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
WisconsinvsFlorida State
40%
60%
13
42
✓
FSU −3.4
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
Miami (FL)vs#15California
27%
73%
17
24
✓
CAL −9.3
–
–

Sun, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
Northern IllinoisvsLouisiana Tech
61%
39%
10
17
✗
NIU −4.8
–
–

Mon, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final
NC StatevsRutgers
24%
76%
23
29
✓
RUTG −10.7
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
#12MissourivsNorthwestern
80%
20%
30
23
✓
MIZ −13.9
–
–

Tue, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final
MarylandvsNevada
48%
52%
42
35
✗
NEV −0.4
–
–

Prime time 2 games

Final
Western MichiganvsRice
45%
55%
14
38
✓
RICE −1.5
–
–
Final
#13Oklahoma Statevs#11Oregon
48%
52%
31
42
✓
ORE −0.4
–
–

Wed, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final
HoustonvsAir Force
49%
51%
34
28
✗
AF −0.1
–
–
Final
#17Oregon StatevsPittsburgh
58%
42%
3
0
✓
ORST −3.8
–
–

Afternoon 2 games

Final
Boston CollegevsVanderbilt
61%
39%
14
16
✗
BC −4.9
–
–
Final
#24KansasvsMinnesota
73%
27%
42
21
✓
KU −10.2
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
LSUvsGeorgia Tech
53%
47%
38
3
✓
LSU −1.5
–
–

Thu, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 3 games

Final
South Carolinavs#19Iowa
34%
66%
10
31
✓
IOWA −6.3
–
–
Final
#16GeorgiavsMichigan State
61%
39%
24
12
✓
UGA −4.8
–
–
Final
#25NebraskavsClemson
52%
48%
26
21
✓
NEB −1.1
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
#5Penn Statevs#3USC
38%
62%
24
38
✓
USC −4.2
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
CincinnativsVirginia Tech
50%
50%
7
20
✗
CIN −0.6
–
–

Fri, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final
#23Ole Missvs#6Texas TechUpset
24%
76%
47
34
✗
TTU −10.7
–
–

Afternoon 1 game

Final
KentuckyvsEast Carolina
50%
50%
25
19
✓
UK −0.6
–
–

Prime time 1 game

Final
#14Utahvs#8Alabama
42%
58%
31
17
✗
ALA −2.9
–
–

Sat, Jan 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final
BuffalovsUConn
38%
62%
20
38
✓
CONN −4.4
–
–

Mon, Jan 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#9Ohio Statevs#4Texas
27%
73%
21
24
✓
TEX −9.1
–
–

Tue, Jan 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#22Ball StatevsTulsaUpset
51%
49%
13
45
✗
BALL −0.9
–
–

Thu, Jan 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#2Floridavs#1Oklahoma
47%
53%
24
14
✗
OU −0.6
–
–