Week 11 slate, 2008

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Nov 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Miami (OH)@Buffalo

16%
84%

17
37

✓

BUF −15.7

–

–

Wed, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Toledo@Akron

24%
76%

30
47

✓

AKR −10.5

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@#23Ball State

18%
82%

14
45

✓

BALL −14.0

–

–

Thu, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Maryland@Virginia Tech

32%
68%

13
23

✓

VT −6.9

–

–

Final

#9TCU@#19Utah

53%
47%

10
13

✗

TCU −1.8

–

–

Fri, Nov 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Nevada@Fresno State

38%
62%

41
28

✗

FRES −4.5

–

–

Sat, Nov 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 17 games

Final

#12Ohio State@Northwestern

68%
32%

45
10

✓

OSU −7.7

–

–

Final

Wisconsin@Indiana

74%
26%

55
20

✓

WIS −10.9

–

–

Final

Purdue@Michigan State

18%
82%

7
21

✓

MSU −13.9

–

–

Final

Michigan@MinnesotaUpset

23%
77%

29
6

✗

MINN −11.5

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@North Carolina

35%
65%

7
28

✓

UNC −5.8

–

–

Final

Syracuse@Rutgers

12%
88%

17
35

✓

RUTG −18.4

–

–

Final

Louisville@Pittsburgh

32%
68%

7
41

✓

PITT −7.0

–

–

Final

Baylor@#3Texas

2.4%
98%

21
45

✓

TEX −31.5

–

–

Final

Illinois@Western Michigan

58%
42%

17
23

✗

ILL −3.6

–

–

Final

#13Georgia@Kentucky

63%
37%

42
38

✓

UGA −5.8

–

–

Final

Arkansas@South Carolina

21%
79%

21
34

✓

SC −12.4

–

–

Final

Wyoming@TennesseeUpset

8.8%
91%

13
7

✗

TENN −21.3

–

–

Final

Iowa State@Colorado

27%
73%

24
28

✓

COLO −9.5

–

–

Final

Utah State@#11Boise State

1.7%
98%

14
49

✓

BOIS −33.6

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Ohio

50%
50%

28
3

✓

BGSU −0.7

–

–

Final

San Diego State@#24BYU

2.5%
98%

12
41

✓

BYU −31.0

–

–

Final

#21Kansas@NebraskaUpset

49%
51%

35
45

✓

KU −0.2

–

–

Afternoon 18 games

Final

Army@Rice

18%
82%

31
38

✓

RICE −14.4

–

–

Final

Memphis@SMU

55%
44%

31
26

✓

MEM −2.7

–

–

Final

Clemson@Florida State

37%
63%

27
41

✓

FSU −4.9

–

–

Final

#10Alabama@#15LSU

50%
50%

27
21

✗

ALA −0.5

–

–

Final

NC State@DukeUpset

21%
79%

27
17

✗

DUKE −12.4

–

–

Final

Marshall@East Carolina

21%
79%

16
19

✓

ECU −12.2

–

–

Final

Virginia@Wake Forest

29%
71%

17
28

✓

WAKE −8.5

–

–

Final

#4Oklahoma@Texas A&M

93%
7.1%

66
28

✓

OU −23.9

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@UCF

57%
43%

17
6

✓

USM −3.3

–

–

Final

#5Penn State@#25IowaUpset

77%
23%

23
24

✗

PSU −12.0

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Middle Tennessee

34%
66%

21
24

✓

MTSU −5.9

–

–

Final

Stanford@#14Oregon

15%
85%

28
35

✓

ORE −16.1

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Troy

7.3%
93%

7
17

✓

TROY −22.9

–

–

Final

Hawaii@New Mexico State

69%
31%

42
30

✓

HAW −8.3

–

–

Final

North Texas@Florida Atlantic

9.8%
90%

13
46

✓

FAU −20.3

–

–

Final

#18Arizona@Washington State

95%
4.6%

59
28

✓

ARIZ −27.4

–

–

Final

Colorado State@Air Force

16%
84%

17
38

✓

AF −15.7

–

–

Final

#20Oregon State@UCLA

72%
28%

34
6

✓

ORST −9.8

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

Arizona State@Washington

66%
34%

39
19

✓

ASU −6.9

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@San Jose State

33%
67%

21
0

✗

SJSU −6.3

–

–

Final

#16California@#2USC

12%
88%

3
17

✓

USC −18.7

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Boston College

35%
65%

0
17

✓

BC −5.8

–

–

Final

#1Florida@Vanderbilt

89%
11%

42
14

✓

FLA −20.2

–

–

Final

Tulane@Houston

13%
87%

14
42

✓

HOU −17.8

–

–

Final

#7Oklahoma State@#6Texas Tech

37%
63%

20
56

✓

TTU −4.9

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

New Mexico@UNLV

60%
40%

20
27

✗

UNM −4.7

–

–

Sun, Nov 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final

Kansas State@#8Missouri

8.9%
91%

24
41

✓

MIZ −21.1

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@#22West VirginiaUpset

31%
69%

26
23

✗

WVU −7.3

–

–

Final

UTEP@Louisiana

28%
72%

37
24

✗

UL −8.8

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@FIU

57%
43%

21
22

✗

ARST −3.1

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Nov 8 · 2:30 PM ET	UT Martin at Auburn	Auburn −55.0	>99%