The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 2008

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 2

Wilder than 2% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 14.5 expected

  • Biggest shockMiami (OH) over Bowling Green18% chance · won 27-20
  • Runner-upVirginia over North Carolina34% chance · won 16-13
  • Runner-upMaryland over Wake Forest39% chance · won 26-0

Upsets

Thu, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
Florida State@NC State
77%
23%
26
17
✓
FSU −12.2
–
–

Fri, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#12BYU@#15TCU
42%
58%
7
32
✓
TCU −2.7
–
–

Sat, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 14 games

Final
Syracuse@#22USF
4.5%
96%
13
45
✓
USF −26.8
–
–
Final
Purdue@Northwestern
40%
60%
26
48
✓
NU −3.7
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Maryland
61%
39%
0
26
✗
WAKE −5.0
–
–
Final
UConn@Rutgers
56%
44%
10
12
✗
CONN −2.8
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Bowling GreenUpset
18%
82%
27
20
✗
BGSU −14.2
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Clemson
52%
48%
21
17
✓
GT −1.3
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Central Michigan
49%
51%
28
38
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Iowa
36%
64%
16
38
✓
IOWA −5.3
–
–
Final
Memphis@East Carolina
26%
74%
10
30
✓
ECU −10.0
–
–
Final
#8Texas Tech@Texas A&M
86%
14%
43
25
✓
TTU −17.9
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#10Georgia
22%
78%
14
24
✓
UGA −12.1
–
–
Final
Nebraska@Iowa State
69%
31%
35
7
✓
NEB −8.4
–
–
Final
Akron@Eastern Michigan
70%
30%
42
35
✓
AKR −8.6
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#23Utah
11%
89%
16
49
✓
UTAH −18.9
–
–

Afternoon 17 games

Final
Baylor@#7Oklahoma State
6.9%
93%
6
34
✓
OKST −23.4
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Rice
47%
53%
40
45
✓
RICE −0.7
–
–
Final
Middle Tennessee@Louisville
25%
75%
23
42
✓
LOU −10.3
–
–
Final
#18Ohio State@#19Michigan State
41%
59%
45
7
✗
MSU −3.0
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@Duke
51%
49%
49
31
✓
MIA −0.8
–
–
Final
#16Kansas@#5Oklahoma
20%
80%
31
45
✓
OU −12.7
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Virginia
66%
34%
13
16
✗
UNC −7.0
–
–
Final
#1USC@Washington State
99%
0.8%
69
0
✓
USC −38.7
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#9Alabama
13%
87%
20
24
✓
ALA −17.5
–
–
Final
Army@Buffalo
19%
81%
24
27
✓
BUF −13.6
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Navy
42%
58%
42
21
✗
NAVY −2.8
–
–
Final
Marshall@UAB
49%
51%
21
23
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Utah State@Nevada
13%
87%
17
44
✓
NEV −17.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Northern Illinois
27%
73%
7
38
✓
NIU −9.2
–
–
Final
Stanford@UCLA
44%
56%
20
23
✓
UCLA −2.1
–
–
Final
Michigan@#2Penn State
3.5%
96%
17
46
✓
PSU −28.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
17%
83%
7
70
✓
UNM −14.9
–
–

Prime time 9 games

Final
Arkansas@Kentucky
13%
87%
20
21
✓
UK −17.5
–
–
Final
Florida Atlantic@Western Kentucky
55%
45%
24
20
✓
FAU −2.4
–
–
Final
#20Oregon State@Washington
81%
19%
34
13
✓
ORST −14.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Louisiana
46%
54%
23
28
✓
UL −1.2
–
–
Final
Idaho@Louisiana Tech
5.7%
94%
14
46
✓
LT −24.9
–
–
Final
North Texas@Louisiana-Monroe
12%
88%
23
35
✓
ULM −18.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Tennessee
24%
76%
3
34
✓
TENN −10.9
–
–
Final
FIU@Troy
16%
84%
23
33
✓
TROY −15.6
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Colorado
52%
48%
13
14
✗
KSU −1.3
–
–

Late night 2 games

Final
#14California@#25Arizona
49%
51%
27
42
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Air Force@UNLV
76%
24%
29
28
✓
AF −11.7
–
–

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Hawaii@#17Boise State
14%
86%
7
27
✓
BOIS −16.8
–
–

Sun, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 7 games

Final
Virginia Tech@Boston College
37%
63%
23
28
✓
BC −4.7
–
–
Final
San Jose State@New Mexico State
48%
52%
31
14
✗
NMSU −0.5
–
–
Final
UTEP@#21Tulsa
12%
88%
35
77
✓
TLSA −18.0
–
–
Final
#6Missouri@#3Texas
30%
70%
31
56
✓
TEX −8.0
–
–
Final
Indiana@Illinois
18%
82%
13
55
✓
ILL −14.1
–
–
Final
Houston@SMU
84%
16%
44
38
✓
HOU −16.0
–
–
Final
#11LSU@South Carolina
60%
40%
24
17
✓
LSU −4.3
–
–