Week 12 slate, 2008

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Nov 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Temple@Kent State

59%
41%

38
41

✗

TEM −4.2

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Northern Illinois

38%
62%

33
30

✗

NIU −4.5

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

#21Ball State@Miami (OH)

92%
8.2%

31
16

✓

BALL −22.7

–

–

Thu, Nov 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Virginia Tech@Miami (FL)

40%
60%

14
16

✓

MIA −3.7

–

–

Final

Wyoming@UNLV

29%
71%

14
22

✓

UNLV −8.2

–

–

Fri, Nov 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Cincinnati@Louisville

63%
37%

28
20

✓

CIN −5.7

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Buffalo@Akron

43%
57%

43
40

✗

AKR −2.2

–

–

Sat, Nov 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 14 games

Final

Rutgers@USF

27%
73%

49
16

✗

USF −9.2

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Michigan

44%
56%

21
14

✗

MICH −1.9

–

–

Final

Duke@Clemson

25%
75%

7
31

✓

CLEM −10.2

–

–

Final

#11Ohio State@Illinois

67%
33%

30
20

✓

OSU −7.4

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Navy

43%
57%

27
21

✗

NAVY −2.4

–

–

Final

Indiana@#5Penn State

0.8%
99%

7
34

✓

PSU −38.2

–

–

Final

Purdue@#24Iowa

16%
84%

17
22

✓

IOWA −15.4

–

–

Final

#13Georgia@Auburn

70%
30%

17
13

✓

UGA −8.9

–

–

Final

#4Texas@#23Kansas

76%
24%

35
7

✓

TEX −11.7

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@Western Kentucky

57%
43%

21
10

✓

MTSU −3.3

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Colorado State

57%
43%

6
20

✗

UNM −3.1

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Ole Miss

12%
88%

0
59

✓

MISS −18.2

–

–

Final

Toledo@Western Michigan

17%
83%

17
27

✓

WMU −14.9

–

–

Final

Utah State@Louisiana Tech

23%
77%

38
45

✓

LT −11.2

–

–

Afternoon 18 games

Final

East Carolina@Southern Miss

41%
59%

3
21

✓

USM −3.1

–

–

Final

UAB@Tulane

35%
65%

41
24

✗

TULN −5.6

–

–

Final

South Carolina@#1Florida

5.2%
95%

6
56

✓

FLA −25.7

–

–

Final

#22North Carolina@MarylandUpset

61%
39%

15
17

✗

UNC −4.8

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@NC State

70%
30%

17
21

✗

WAKE −9.0

–

–

Final

#17California@#15Oregon State

39%
61%

21
34

✓

ORST −3.9

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Wisconsin

26%
74%

32
35

✓

WIS −9.9

–

–

Final

#25BYU@Air Force

47%
53%

38
24

✗

AF −0.5

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Kansas State

58%
42%

56
28

✓

NEB −3.9

–

–

Final

Louisiana@Florida Atlantic

48%
52%

29
40

✓

FAU −0.5

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@Baylor

38%
62%

21
41

✓

BAY −4.5

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Nevada

21%
79%

17
41

✓

NEV −12.5

–

–

Final

UCF@Marshall

37%
63%

30
14

✗

MRSH −4.8

–

–

Final

#12Boise State@Idaho

>99%
0.4%

45
10

✓

BOIS −42.7

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Fresno State

14%
86%

17
24

✓

FRES −17.0

–

–

Final

Washington State@Arizona State

5.4%
95%

0
31

✓

ASU −25.4

–

–

Final

#19Arizona@#14Oregon

36%
64%

45
55

✓

ORE −5.1

–

–

Final

#7Missouri@Iowa State

93%
7.0%

52
20

✓

MIZ −24.0

–

–

Prime time 8 games

Final

Mississippi State@#9Alabama

5.2%
95%

7
32

✓

ALA −25.6

–

–

Final

#8Oklahoma State@Colorado

86%
14%

30
17

✓

OKST −18.0

–

–

Final

Boston College@Florida State

40%
60%

27
17

✗

FSU −3.5

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@Kentucky

37%
63%

31
24

✗

UK −4.8

–

–

Final

Troy@#20LSU

19%
81%

31
40

✓

LSU −13.6

–

–

Final

#18Tulsa@HoustonUpset

63%
37%

30
70

✗

TLSA −5.6

–

–

Final

#16Utah@San Diego State

95%
4.6%

63
14

✓

UTAH −27.3

–

–

Final

SMU@UTEP

22%
78%

10
36

✓

UTEP −11.7

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

UCLA@Washington

57%
43%

27
7

✓

UCLA −3.4

–

–

Sun, Nov 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final

#2USC@Stanford

91%
8.7%

45
23

✓

USC −22.1

–

–

Final

UConn@Syracuse

81%
19%

39
14

✓

CONN −14.2

–

–