Bowls slate, 2012

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 35 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Sat, Dec 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

NevadavsArizona

31%
69%

48
49

✓

ARIZ −7.4

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Toledovs#25Utah State

30%
70%

15
41

✓

USU −7.8

–

–

Thu, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

BYUvsSan Diego State

61%
39%

23
6

✓

BYU −5.1

–

–

Fri, Dec 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Ball StatevsUCF

28%
72%

17
38

✓

UCF −8.6

–

–

Sat, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

East CarolinavsLouisiana

36%
64%

34
43

✓

UL −5.4

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Washingtonvs#18Boise State

24%
76%

26
28

✓

BOIS −11.1

–

–

Mon, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#23Fresno StatevsSMUUpset

76%
24%

10
43

✗

FRES −11.5

–

–

Wed, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Western KentuckyvsCentral Michigan

72%
28%

21
24

✗

WKU −9.7

–

–

Thu, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 2 games

Final

San Jose StatevsBowling Green

68%
32%

29
20

✓

SJSU −8.0

–

–

Final

CincinnativsDuke

79%
21%

48
34

✓

CIN −13.5

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#22BaylorvsUCLA

53%
47%

49
26

✓

BAY −1.8

–

–

Fri, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

OhiovsLouisiana-Monroe

35%
65%

45
14

✗

ULM −5.6

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

RutgersvsVirginia Tech

54%
46%

10
13

✗

RUTG −2.3

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

MinnesotavsTexas Tech

23%
77%

31
34

✓

TTU −11.1

–

–

Sat, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

RicevsAir Force

49%
51%

33
14

✗

PK

–

–

Afternoon 3 games

Final

West VirginiavsSyracuse

62%
38%

14
38

✗

WVU −5.2

–

–

Final

Navyvs#24Arizona State

20%
80%

28
62

✓

ASU −12.9

–

–

Final

#21Texasvs#20Oregon State

49%
51%

31
27

✗

ORST −0.1

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

TCUvsMichigan State

52%
48%

16
17

✗

TCU −1.3

–

–

Mon, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

NC StatevsVanderbilt

30%
70%

24
38

✓

VAN −7.7

–

–

Final

#15USCvsGeorgia TechUpset

73%
27%

7
21

✗

USC −10.4

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Iowa StatevsTulsa

46%
54%

17
31

✓

TLSA −1.3

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#11LSUvs#14Clemson

55%
45%

24
25

✗

LSU −2.4

–

–

Tue, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 4 games

Final

Mississippi StatevsNorthwestern

49%
51%

20
34

✓

MSST −0.2

–

–

Final

Purduevs#9Oklahoma State

11%
89%

14
58

✓

OKST −19.0

–

–

Final

#13South Carolinavs#19Michigan

56%
44%

33
28

✓

SC −3.0

–

–

Final

#6GeorgiavsNebraska

73%
27%

45
31

✓

UGA −10.2

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

#17Wisconsinvs#10Stanford

40%
60%

14
20

✓

STAN −3.4

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

Northern Illinoisvs#12Florida State

31%
69%

10
31

✓

FSU −7.5

–

–

Wed, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Louisvillevs#8FloridaUpset

17%
83%

33
23

✗

FLA −14.5

–

–

Thu, Jan 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#2Oregonvs#4Kansas State

64%
36%

35
17

✓

ORE −6.0

–

–

Fri, Jan 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#3Texas A&Mvs#7Oklahoma

55%
45%

41
13

✓

TA&M −2.4

–

–

Sat, Jan 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

PittsburghvsOle Miss

48%
52%

17
38

✓

MISS −0.2

–

–

Sun, Jan 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Kent StatevsArkansas State

40%
60%

13
17

✓

ARST −3.7

–

–

Mon, Jan 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#5Notre Damevs#1Alabama

30%
70%

14
42

✓

ALA −8.0

–

–