Week 9 slate, 2012

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 58 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Arkansas State@Louisiana

31%
68%

50
27

✗

UL −7.2

–

–

Thu, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#23Clemson@Wake Forest

75%
25%

42
13

✓

CLEM −11.4

–

–

Sat, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

Iowa@Northwestern

30%
70%

17
28

✓

NU −7.7

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Missouri

24%
76%

10
33

✓

MIZ −10.6

–

–

Final

Temple@Pittsburgh

44%
56%

17
47

✓

PITT −1.8

–

–

Final

Ball State@Army

67%
33%

30
22

✓

BALL −7.6

–

–

Final

Indiana@Illinois

47%
53%

31
17

✗

ILL −0.7

–

–

Final

#18Texas@Kansas

87%
13%

21
17

✓

TEX −18.1

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#7South Carolina

14%
86%

35
38

✓

SC −16.6

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Western Michigan

68%
32%

48
34

✓

NIU −7.9

–

–

Final

Ole Miss@Arkansas

30%
70%

30
27

✗

ARK −8.1

–

–

Final

NC State@North Carolina

27%
73%

35
43

✓

UNC −9.5

–

–

Final

Maryland@Boston College

50%
50%

17
20

✗

MD −0.7

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@Rice

40%
60%

17
44

✓

RICE −3.8

–

–

Final

Utah State@UTSA

83%
17%

48
17

✓

USU −15.8

–

–

Afternoon 27 games

Final

UCLA@#20Arizona StateUpset

27%
73%

45
43

✗

ASU −9.1

–

–

Final

BYU@Georgia Tech

54%
46%

41
17

✓

BYU −2.3

–

–

Final

Colorado@#2Oregon

0.3%
>99%

14
70

✓

ORE −44.5

–

–

Final

Memphis@SMU

7.3%
93%

13
44

✓

SMU −22.9

–

–

Final

#12USC@ArizonaUpset

57%
43%

36
39

✗

USC −3.4

–

–

Final

Duke@#9Florida State

9.9%
90%

7
48

✓

FSU −20.2

–

–

Final

#5Floridavs#17Georgia

66%
34%

9
17

✗

FLA −6.8

–

–

Final

Purdue@Minnesota

55%
45%

28
44

✗

PUR −2.5

–

–

Final

Navy@East Carolina

35%
65%

56
28

✗

ECU −5.7

–

–

Final

Kent State@RutgersUpset

16%
84%

35
23

✗

RUTG −15.7

–

–

Final

Fresno State@New Mexico

72%
28%

49
32

✓

FRES −9.6

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Bowling Green

15%
85%

3
24

✓

BGSU −16.1

–

–

Final

Ohio@Miami (OH)

73%
27%

20
23

✗

OHIO −10.3

–

–

Final

#24TCU@#13Oklahoma State

30%
70%

14
36

✓

OKST −7.9

–

–

Final

Michigan State@#22WisconsinUpset

31%
69%

16
13

✗

WIS −7.3

–

–

Final

Toledo@Buffalo

84%
16%

25
20

✓

TOL −16.3

–

–

Final

Akron@Central Michigan

35%
65%

14
35

✓

CMU −5.7

–

–

Final

#15Texas Tech@#4Kansas State

23%
77%

24
55

✓

KSU −11.3

–

–

Final

North Texas@Middle Tennessee

46%
54%

21
38

✓

MTSU −1.0

–

–

Final

UAB@Tulane

61%
39%

45
55

✗

UAB −4.9

–

–

Final

#16Boise State@Wyoming

88%
12%

45
14

✓

BOIS −19.4

–

–

Final

Texas State@San Jose State

9.9%
90%

20
31

✓

SJSU −20.1

–

–

Final

UTEP@Houston

20%
80%

35
45

✓

HOU −12.8

–

–

Final

Troy@Florida Atlantic

70%
30%

27
34

✗

TROY −8.7

–

–

Final

#19Ohio State@Penn State

45%
55%

35
23

✗

PSU −1.3

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@FIU

70%
30%

14
6

✓

WKU −8.7

–

–

Final

Washington State@#11Stanford

3.5%
96%

17
24

✓

STAN −28.8

–

–

Prime time 8 games

Final

#8Texas A&M@Auburn

82%
18%

63
21

✓

TA&M −14.8

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Colorado State

37%
63%

27
42

✓

CSU −4.7

–

–

Final

Syracuse@USF

37%
63%

37
36

✗

USF −4.7

–

–

Final

Baylor@Iowa State

47%
53%

21
35

✓

ISU −0.7

–

–

Final

UMass@Vanderbilt

5.7%
94%

7
49

✓

VAN −24.9

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Louisiana-Monroe

5.6%
94%

24
38

✓

ULM −25.1

–

–

Final

#21Mississippi State@#1Alabama

6.8%
93%

7
38

✓

ALA −23.5

–

–

Final

California@Utah

48%
52%

27
49

✓

UTAH −0.3

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

#25Oregon State@WashingtonUpset

69%
31%

17
20

✗

ORST −8.4

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

Cincinnati@Louisville

43%
57%

31
34

✓

LOU −2.2

–

–

Final

Nevada@Air Force

52%
48%

31
48

✗

NEV −1.3

–

–

Sun, Oct 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final

UNLV@San Diego State

9.8%
90%

13
24

✓

SDSU −20.3

–

–

Final

#14Michigan@NebraskaUpset

56%
44%

9
23

✗

MICH −2.9

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@New Mexico State

93%
7.1%

28
14

✓

LT −23.8

–

–

Final

#6Notre Dame@#3Oklahoma

30%
70%

30
13

✗

OU −7.8

–

–

Final

UCF@Marshall

62%
38%

54
17

✓

UCF −5.2

–

–