Week 8 slate, 2012

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Louisiana@North Texas

61%
39%

23
30

✗

UL −5.0

–

–

Thu, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#2Oregon@#15Arizona State

60%
40%

43
21

✓

ORE −4.5

–

–

Fri, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Houston@SMU

59%
41%

42
72

✗

HOU −4.0

–

–

Sat, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

Bowling Green@UMass

72%
28%

24
0

✓

BGSU −9.6

–

–

Final

Purdue@#19Ohio State

14%
86%

22
29

✓

OSU −16.7

–

–

Final

Iowa State@#18Oklahoma State

24%
76%

10
31

✓

OKST −10.7

–

–

Final

Rutgers@Temple

54%
46%

35
10

✓

RUTG −2.0

–

–

Final

Virginia Tech@Clemson

32%
68%

17
38

✓

CLEM −6.9

–

–

Final

#11LSU@#7Texas A&M

34%
66%

24
19

✗

TA&M −6.0

–

–

Final

Minnesota@#23Wisconsin

13%
87%

13
38

✓

WIS −17.9

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Akron

86%
14%

37
7

✓

NIU −17.8

–

–

Final

Auburn@Vanderbilt

33%
67%

13
17

✓

VAN −6.5

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Virginia

48%
52%

16
10

✗

UVA −0.2

–

–

Final

Army@Eastern Michigan

47%
53%

38
48

✓

EMU −0.8

–

–

Final

FIU@Troy

23%
77%

37
38

✓

TROY −11.4

–

–

Final

San Jose State@UTSA

61%
39%

52
24

✓

SJSU −5.0

–

–

Afternoon 19 games

Final

#14Stanford@California

63%
37%

21
3

✓

STAN −5.8

–

–

Final

Boston College@Georgia Tech

24%
76%

17
37

✓

GT −11.1

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Utah State

4.7%
95%

7
41

✓

USU −26.4

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@South Alabama

44%
56%

34
37

✓

USA −1.9

–

–

Final

#4South Carolina@#8Florida

48%
52%

11
44

✓

FLA −0.1

–

–

Final

UNLV@#16Boise State

2.3%
98%

7
32

✓

BOIS −31.8

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Northwestern

51%
49%

29
28

✓

NEB −0.9

–

–

Final

BYU@#5Notre Dame

14%
86%

14
17

✓

ND −16.8

–

–

Final

USF@Louisville

24%
76%

25
27

✓

LOU −10.9

–

–

Final

NC State@Maryland

55%
45%

20
18

✓

NCSU −2.3

–

–

Final

Michigan State@#10Michigan

22%
78%

10
12

✓

MICH −12.1

–

–

Final

Rice@Tulsa

11%
89%

24
28

✓

TLSA −19.0

–

–

Final

Pittsburgh@Buffalo

64%
36%

20
6

✓

PITT −6.1

–

–

Final

Ball State@Central Michigan

66%
34%

41
30

✓

BALL −6.8

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Kent State

39%
61%

24
41

✓

KENT −4.0

–

–

Final

Indiana@Navy

37%
63%

30
31

✓

NAVY −4.8

–

–

Final

#17Texas Tech@#21TCU

45%
55%

56
53

✗

TCU −1.5

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Western Kentucky

42%
58%

43
42

✗

WKU −2.6

–

–

Final

Colorado@#13USC

1.7%
98%

6
50

✓

USC −33.7

–

–

Prime time 11 games

Final

East Carolina@UAB

61%
39%

42
35

✓

ECU −5.0

–

–

Final

#12Georgia@Kentucky

84%
16%

29
24

✓

UGA −16.1

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Duke

64%
36%

30
33

✗

UNC −6.4

–

–

Final

Kansas@#3Oklahoma

1.7%
98%

7
52

✓

OU −33.7

–

–

Final

#6Kansas State@#22West Virginia

57%
43%

55
14

✓

KSU −3.4

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@#25Mississippi State

10%
90%

3
45

✓

MSST −19.9

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Air Force

28%
72%

23
28

✓

AF −8.7

–

–

Final

Idaho@#24Louisiana Tech

0.7%
99%

28
70

✓

LT −39.5

–

–

Final

Marshall@Southern Miss

34%
66%

59
24

✗

USM −5.9

–

–

Final

#1Alabama@Tennessee

90%
9.7%

44
13

✓

ALA −21.2

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@Toledo

50%
50%

23
29

✗

CIN −0.6

–

–

Late night 4 games

Final

Washington@Arizona

28%
72%

17
52

✓

ARIZ −8.9

–

–

Final

Utah@Oregon State

21%
79%

7
21

✓

ORST −12.5

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Fresno State

14%
86%

14
42

✓

FRES −17.1

–

–

Final

San Diego State@Nevada

34%
66%

39
38

✗

NEV −5.9

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

UConn@Syracuse

46%
54%

10
40

✓

SYR −1.0

–

–

Sun, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final

UCF@Memphis

91%
8.7%

35
17

✓

UCF −22.1

–

–

Final

Baylor@#20Texas

28%
72%

50
56

✓

TEX −8.7

–

–

Final

Penn State@Iowa

53%
47%

38
14

✓

PSU −1.8

–

–

Final

#9Florida State@Miami (FL)

70%
30%

33
20

✓

FSU −8.9

–

–

Final

Tulane@UTEP

16%
84%

20
24

✓

UTEP −15.7

–

–