Week 7 slate, 2012

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Western Kentucky@Troy

52%
48%

31
26

✓

WKU −0.9

–

–

Final

#20Arizona State@Colorado

92%
7.7%

51
17

✓

ASU −23.6

–

–

Fri, Oct 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

UTEP@Tulsa

16%
84%

11
33

✓

TLSA −16.7

–

–

Sat, Oct 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 16 games

Final

Louisville@Pittsburgh

65%
35%

45
35

✓

LOU −6.2

–

–

Final

#6Kansas State@Iowa State

70%
30%

27
21

✓

KSU −8.5

–

–

Final

Iowa@Michigan StateUpset

25%
75%

19
16

✗

MSU −11.3

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Minnesota

58%
42%

21
13

✓

NU −3.4

–

–

Final

Syracuse@Rutgers

19%
82%

15
23

✓

RUTG −15.0

–

–

Final

#7Texasvs#9Oklahoma

52%
48%

21
63

✗

TEX −0.8

–

–

Final

UAB@Houston

22%
78%

17
39

✓

HOU −13.1

–

–

Final

Kent State@Army

62%
38%

31
17

✓

KENT −4.9

–

–

Final

Wisconsin@Purdue

54%
46%

38
14

✓

WIS −1.7

–

–

Final

Auburn@Ole Miss

40%
60%

20
41

✓

MISS −4.2

–

–

Final

Duke@Virginia Tech

35%
65%

20
41

✓

VT −6.4

–

–

Final

Temple@UConn

44%
56%

17
14

✗

CONN −2.4

–

–

Final

Toledo@Eastern Michigan

89%
11%

52
47

✓

TOL −20.5

–

–

Final

SMU@TulaneUpset

84%
16%

26
27

✗

SMU −16.2

–

–

Final

Akron@Ohio

7.3%
93%

28
34

✓

OHIO −24.2

–

–

Final

#24North Carolina@Miami (FL)

55%
45%

18
14

✓

UNC −2.0

–

–

Afternoon 20 games

Final

Utah@UCLA

29%
71%

14
21

✓

UCLA −9.4

–

–

Final

Maryland@Virginia

52%
48%

27
20

✓

MD −0.7

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Ball State

49%
51%

24
30

✓

BALL −0.5

–

–

Final

Nevada@UNLV

84%
16%

42
37

✓

NEV −16.1

–

–

Final

Fresno State@#18Boise State

24%
76%

10
20

✓

BOIS −12.0

–

–

Final

#14Stanford@#4Notre Dame

32%
68%

13
20

✓

ND −7.8

–

–

Final

Illinois@#19Michigan

8.3%
92%

0
45

✓

MICH −23.1

–

–

Final

#1Alabama@Missouri

89%
11%

42
10

✓

ALA −20.3

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Bowling Green

33%
67%

12
37

✓

BGSU −7.2

–

–

Final

UTSA@Rice

55%
45%

14
34

✗

UTSA −1.9

–

–

Final

Oregon State@BYU

36%
64%

42
24

✗

BYU −6.1

–

–

Final

#12Oklahoma State@Kansas

92%
8.4%

20
14

✓

OKST −22.7

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Northern Illinois

15%
85%

3
45

✓

NIU −17.2

–

–

Final

#10West Virginia@Texas TechUpset

58%
42%

14
49

✗

WVU −3.3

–

–

Final

Utah State@San Jose State

47%
53%

49
27

✗

SJSU −1.5

–

–

Final

Memphis@East Carolina

12%
88%

7
41

✓

ECU −19.9

–

–

Final

Boston College@#16Florida State

8.3%
92%

7
51

✓

FSU −23.0

–

–

Final

#8Florida@Vanderbilt

74%
26%

31
17

✓

FLA −10.8

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@FIU

50%
50%

34
30

✗

FIU −0.3

–

–

Final

Colorado State@San Diego State

14%
86%

14
38

✓

SDSU −18.1

–

–

Prime time 8 games

Final

Kentucky@Arkansas

27%
73%

7
49

✓

ARK −10.2

–

–

Final

TCU@#21BaylorUpset

29%
71%

49
21

✗

BAY −9.3

–

–

Final

#17USC@Washington

74%
26%

24
14

✓

USC −10.5

–

–

Final

Idaho@Texas State

27%
73%

7
38

✓

TXST −10.4

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Arkansas State

12%
88%

29
36

✓

ARST −19.9

–

–

Final

Air Force@Wyoming

56%
44%

28
27

✓

AF −2.2

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#23Mississippi State

34%
66%

31
41

✓

MSST −6.9

–

–

Final

#5Texas A&M@Louisiana Tech

61%
39%

59
57

✓

TA&M −4.5

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

California@Washington State

71%
29%

31
17

✓

CAL −8.9

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Navy@Central Michigan

64%
36%

31
13

✓

NAVY −5.7

–

–

Sun, Oct 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

New Mexico@Hawaii

56%
44%

35
23

✓

UNM −2.4

–

–

Time TBD 4 games

Final

#15Ohio State@Indiana

85%
15%

52
49

✓

OSU −16.9

–

–

Final

#3South Carolina@#13LSU

57%
43%

21
23

✗

SC −2.9

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@UCF

17%
83%

31
38

✓

UCF −15.8

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Louisiana-Monroe

8.8%
91%

14
35

✓

ULM −22.6

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ET	Fordham at #22 Cincinnati	Cincinnati −41.3	99%