Bowls slate, 2023

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 42 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Sat, Dec 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

Georgia SouthernvsOhio

40%
60%

21
41

✓

OHIO −3.4

–

–

Final

Jacksonville StatevsLouisiana

49%
51%

34
31

✗

JXST −0.2

–

–

Afternoon 2 games

Final

Miami (OH)vsAppalachian State

44%
56%

9
13

✓

APP −1.8

–

–

Final

New Mexico StatevsFresno State

44%
56%

10
37

✓

FRES −1.8

–

–

Prime time 2 games

Final

UCLAvsBoise State

54%
46%

35
22

✓

UCLA −2.3

–

–

Final

CaliforniavsTexas Tech

42%
58%

14
34

✓

TTU −2.8

–

–

Mon, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Western KentuckyvsOld Dominion

63%
37%

38
35

✓

WKU −5.9

–

–

Tue, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UTSAvsMarshall

76%
24%

35
17

✓

UTSA −11.9

–

–

Thu, Dec 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

USFvsSyracuseUpset

22%
78%

45
0

✗

SYR −11.8

–

–

Fri, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Georgia TechvsUCF

36%
64%

30
17

✗

UCF −5.0

–

–

Sat, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

TroyvsDuke

40%
60%

10
17

✓

DUKE −3.6

–

–

Final

Arkansas StatevsNorthern Illinois

48%
52%

19
21

✓

NIU −0.4

–

–

Afternoon 2 games

Final

James MadisonvsAir Force

56%
44%

21
31

✗

JMU −2.8

–

–

Final

Georgia StatevsUtah State

52%
48%

45
22

✓

GAST −1.2

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#24UtahvsNorthwesternUpset

76%
24%

7
14

✗

UTAH −11.5

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Coastal CarolinavsSan Jose State

40%
60%

24
14

✗

SJSU −3.7

–

–

Sun, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

South Alabama@Eastern Michigan

80%
20%

59
10

✓

USA −14.2

–

–

Tue, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Bowling GreenvsMinnesota

29%
71%

24
30

✓

MINN −8.2

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Texas StatevsRice

44%
56%

45
21

✗

RICE −1.8

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#22KansasvsUNLV

80%
20%

49
36

✓

KU −14.2

–

–

Wed, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Virginia TechvsTulane

47%
53%

41
20

✗

TULN −0.6

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

North CarolinavsWest Virginia

60%
40%

10
30

✗

UNC −4.3

–

–

Prime time 2 games

Final

#25Louisvillevs#20USC

46%
54%

28
42

✓

USC −1.1

–

–

Final

#17Texas A&MvsOklahoma StateUpset

71%
29%

23
31

✗

TA&M −9.2

–

–

Thu, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

#23SMUvsBoston CollegeUpset

85%
15%

14
23

✗

SMU −17.1

–

–

Final

RutgersvsMiami (FL)

36%
64%

31
24

✗

MIA −5.4

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

NC Statevs#13Kansas State

25%
75%

19
28

✓

KSU −10.4

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#21Arizonavs#9Oklahoma

28%
72%

38
24

✗

OU −8.8

–

–

Fri, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

#16ClemsonvsKentucky

67%
33%

38
35

✓

CLEM −7.5

–

–

Final

#15Oregon Statevs#12Notre Dame

34%
66%

8
40

✓

ND −5.9

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Memphis@Iowa State

31%
70%

36
26

✗

ISU −7.6

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#14Missourivs#2Ohio StateUpset

20%
80%

14
3

✗

OSU −13.1

–

–

Sat, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 2 games

Final

#18Ole Missvs#4Penn StateUpset

22%
78%

38
25

✗

PSU −11.7

–

–

Final

AuburnvsMaryland

46%
54%

13
31

✓

MD −0.9

–

–

Afternoon 2 games

Final

#3Georgiavs#8Florida State

58%
42%

63
3

✓

UGA −3.7

–

–

Final

ToledovsWyoming

60%
40%

15
16

✗

TOL −4.3

–

–

Mon, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 3 games

Final

Wisconsinvs#11LSU

19%
80%

31
35

✓

LSU −13.3

–

–

Final

Iowavs#19Tennessee

35%
65%

0
35

✓

TENN −5.6

–

–

Final

Libertyvs#5Oregon

8.6%
91%

6
45

✓

ORE −21.4

–

–

Afternoon 1 game

Final

#7Alabamavs#1Michigan

32%
68%

20
27

✓

MICH −7.0

–

–

Prime time 1 game

Final

#6Texasvs#10Washington

59%
41%

31
37

✗

TEX −4.1

–

–

Mon, Jan 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#10Washingtonvs#1Michigan

27%
73%

13
34

✓

MICH −9.5

–

–