Week 9 slate, 2023

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

New Mexico State@Louisiana Tech

53%
47%

27
24

✓

NMSU −1.5

–

–

Final

Liberty@Western Kentucky

49%
51%

42
29

✗

PK

–

–

Wed, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Jacksonville State@FIU

75%
25%

41
16

✓

JXST −11.3

–

–

Thu, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Syracuse@Virginia Tech

54%
46%

10
38

✗

SYR −2.0

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Georgia Southern

54%
46%

27
44

✗

GAST −2.2

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

UTEP@Sam Houston

42%
58%

37
34

✗

SHSU −2.6

–

–

Fri, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Florida Atlantic@Charlotte

65%
35%

38
16

✓

FAU −6.7

–

–

Sat, Oct 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 12 games

Final

UMass@ArmyUpset

11%
89%

21
14

✗

ARMY −19.0

–

–

Final

UConn@Boston College

21%
79%

14
21

✓

BC −12.3

–

–

Final

#24Maryland@NorthwesternUpset

80%
20%

27
33

✗

MD −13.8

–

–

Final

Indiana@#3Penn State

1.8%
98%

24
33

✓

PSU −33.2

–

–

Final

South Carolina@#17Texas A&M

21%
79%

17
30

✓

TA&M −12.7

–

–

Final

#4Florida State@Wake Forest

92%
8.1%

41
16

✓

FSU −22.7

–

–

Final

#8Oklahoma@KansasUpset

73%
27%

33
38

✗

OU −10.4

–

–

Final

Houston@#14Kansas State

13%
87%

0
41

✓

KSU −17.6

–

–

Final

West Virginia@UCF

40%
60%

41
28

✗

UCF −3.6

–

–

Final

Tulsa@SMU

10%
90%

10
69

✓

SMU −19.6

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan

46%
54%

45
21

✗

EMU −1.1

–

–

Final

#22Clemson@NC StateUpset

73%
27%

17
24

✗

CLEM −10.4

–

–

Afternoon 20 games

Final

Memphis@North Texas

80%
20%

45
42

✓

MEM −13.7

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@Auburn

43%
57%

13
27

✓

AUB −2.4

–

–

Final

#7GeorgiavsFlorida

82%
18%

43
20

✓

UGA −14.9

–

–

Final

Michigan State@Minnesota

31%
69%

12
27

✓

MINN −7.6

–

–

Final

Purdue@Nebraska

45%
55%

14
31

✓

NEB −1.7

–

–

Final

#9Oregon@#19Utah

60%
40%

35
6

✓

ORE −4.4

–

–

Final

Pittsburgh@#12Notre Dame

11%
89%

7
58

✓

ND −19.3

–

–

Final

#21Duke@LouisvilleUpset

58%
42%

0
23

✗

DUKE −3.8

–

–

Final

Virginia@Miami (FL)

15%
85%

26
29

✓

MIA −16.1

–

–

Final

Iowa State@Baylor

62%
38%

30
18

✓

ISU −5.2

–

–

Final

BYU@#5Texas

6.1%
94%

6
35

✓

TEX −24.4

–

–

Final

East Carolina@UTSA

18%
82%

27
41

✓

UTSA −14.1

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@Appalachian State

16%
84%

38
48

✓

APP −15.2

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Ohio

47%
53%

30
16

✗

OHIO −0.8

–

–

Final

#15USC@California

78%
22%

50
49

✓

USC −12.9

–

–

Final

Tulane@Rice

75%
25%

30
28

✓

TULN −11.2

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Louisiana-Monroe

42%
58%

34
24

✗

ULM −2.9

–

–

Final

Louisiana@South Alabama

26%
74%

33
20

✗

USA −9.9

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Boise State

35%
65%

7
32

✓

BOIS −5.5

–

–

Final

Marshall@Coastal Carolina

36%
64%

6
34

✓

CCU −5.3

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

#13Tennessee@Kentucky

73%
27%

33
27

✓

TENN −10.2

–

–

Final

#10Washington@Stanford

94%
5.6%

42
33

✓

WASH −25.8

–

–

Final

Troy@Texas State

61%
39%

31
13

✓

TROY −4.8

–

–

Final

Air Force@Colorado State

83%
17%

30
13

✓

AF −15.9

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@#16Ole Miss

6.1%
94%

7
33

✓

MISS −24.4

–

–

Final

#2Ohio State@Wisconsin

82%
18%

24
10

✓

OSU −15.4

–

–

Final

Colorado@#23UCLA

15%
85%

16
28

✓

UCLA −16.1

–

–

Late night 4 games

Final

#20Oregon State@ArizonaUpset

61%
39%

24
27

✗

ORST −4.9

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Nevada

48%
52%

24
34

✓

NEV −0.5

–

–

Final

UNLV@Fresno State

30%
70%

24
31

✓

FRES −7.8

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Hawaii

80%
20%

35
0

✓

SJSU −13.9

–

–

Sun, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final

Washington State@Arizona State

68%
32%

27
38

✗

WSU −8.1

–

–

Final

#18North Carolina@Georgia TechUpset

84%
16%

42
46

✗

UNC −16.2

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@Oklahoma State

32%
68%

13
45

✓

OKST −7.0

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@James Madison

20%
80%

27
30

✓

JMU −12.7

–

–