Week 9 slate, 2014

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Arkansas State@Louisiana

56%
44%

40
55

✗

ARST −3.0

–

–

Thu, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UConn@East Carolina

5.5%
94%

21
31

✓

ECU −25.2

–

–

Fri, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 3 games

Final

USF@Cincinnati

15%
85%

17
34

✓

CIN −16.0

–

–

Final

Troy@South Alabama

12%
88%

13
27

✓

USA −18.3

–

–

Final

BYU@Boise State

46%
54%

30
55

✓

BOIS −1.0

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

#5Oregon@California

85%
15%

59
41

✓

ORE −16.7

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Miami (FL)@Virginia Tech

40%
60%

30
6

✗

VT −3.5

–

–

Sat, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 16 games

Final

Memphis@SMU

94%
6.5%

48
10

✓

MEM −24.6

–

–

Final

Texas@#18Kansas State

21%
79%

0
23

✓

KSU −12.2

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Illinois

75%
25%

24
28

✗

MINN −11.1

–

–

Final

Maryland@Wisconsin

40%
60%

7
52

✓

WIS −3.6

–

–

Final

Rutgers@#17Nebraska

12%
88%

24
42

✓

NEB −18.4

–

–

Final

North Texas@Rice

21%
79%

21
41

✓

RICE −12.2

–

–

Final

UAB@Arkansas

16%
84%

17
45

✓

ARK −15.7

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Virginia

39%
61%

28
27

✗

UVA −3.9

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Eastern Michigan

87%
13%

28
17

✓

NIU −18.4

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Navy

37%
63%

31
41

✓

NAVY −4.8

–

–

Final

Akron@Ball State

57%
43%

21
35

✗

AKR −3.5

–

–

Final

Ohio@Western Michigan

30%
70%

21
42

✓

WMU −7.8

–

–

Final

UMass@Toledo

17%
83%

35
42

✓

TOL −15.0

–

–

Final

#16UCLA@Colorado

88%
12%

40
37

✓

UCLA −18.8

–

–

Final

Georgia Southern@Georgia State

91%
9.3%

69
31

✓

GASO −21.5

–

–

Final

Kent State@Miami (OH)

51%
49%

3
10

✗

KENT −1.1

–

–

Afternoon 15 games

Final

Boston College@Wake Forest

76%
24%

23
17

✓

BC −11.9

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@Pittsburgh

44%
56%

56
28

✗

PITT −1.8

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Oklahoma State

37%
63%

34
10

✗

OKST −4.7

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@#13TCU

7.8%
92%

27
82

✓

TCU −22.3

–

–

Final

Michigan@#8Michigan State

11%
89%

11
35

✓

MSU −19.1

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@#12Marshall

5.6%
94%

16
35

✓

MRSH −25.1

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Southern Miss

74%
26%

31
20

✓

LT −10.6

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Buffalo

50%
50%

20
14

✓

CMU −0.6

–

–

Final

Oregon State@#20Stanford

18%
82%

14
38

✓

STAN −14.3

–

–

Final

#4Mississippi State@Kentucky

85%
15%

45
31

✓

MSST −17.2

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@Western Kentucky

13%
87%

51
66

✓

WKU −17.4

–

–

Final

UNLV@Utah State

7.5%
92%

20
34

✓

USU −22.6

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@Missouri

5.2%
95%

14
24

✓

MIZ −25.7

–

–

Final

Temple@UCF

33%
67%

14
34

✓

UCF −6.5

–

–

Final

Arizona@Washington State

62%
38%

59
37

✓

ARIZ −5.2

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

Syracuse@#22Clemson

18%
82%

6
16

✓

CLEM −14.3

–

–

Final

UTEP@UTSAUpset

25%
75%

34
0

✗

UTSA −10.4

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Colorado State

12%
88%

31
45

✓

CSU −18.7

–

–

Final

Texas State@Louisiana-Monroe

45%
55%

22
18

✗

ULM −1.5

–

–

Final

#3Ole Miss@#19LSU

64%
36%

7
10

✗

MISS −6.0

–

–

Final

South Carolina@#1Auburn

11%
89%

35
42

✓

AUB −19.1

–

–

Final

#2Alabama@Tennessee

79%
21%

34
20

✓

ALA −13.4

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

#15USC@#24Utah

53%
47%

21
24

✗

USC −1.6

–

–

Final

#21Arizona State@Washington

57%
43%

24
10

✓

ASU −3.2

–

–

Sun, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Nevada@Hawaii

70%
30%

26
18

✓

NEV −8.7

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

#6Ohio State@Penn State

79%
21%

31
24

✓

OSU −13.5

–

–