Week 10 slate, 2014

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

#11Florida State@Louisville

59%
41%

42
31

✓

FSU −4.0

–

–

Final

Troy@Georgia Southern

3.7%
96%

10
42

✓

GASO −28.3

–

–

Sat, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 15 games

Final

Air Force@Army

60%
40%

23
6

✓

AF −4.7

–

–

Final

UCF@UConnUpset

83%
17%

29
37

✗

UCF −15.6

–

–

Final

East Carolina@Temple

61%
39%

10
20

✗

ECU −5.1

–

–

Final

Duke@Pittsburgh

61%
39%

51
48

✓

DUKE −5.0

–

–

Final

#10Oklahoma@Iowa State

83%
17%

59
14

✓

OU −15.7

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Iowa

33%
67%

7
48

✓

IOWA −6.6

–

–

Final

Maryland@Penn State

44%
56%

20
19

✗

PSU −1.8

–

–

Final

#22Wisconsin@Rutgers

75%
25%

37
0

✓

WIS −11.1

–

–

Final

Rice@FIU

72%
28%

31
17

✓

RICE −9.5

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@#25Texas A&M

3.8%
96%

16
21

✓

TA&M −28.2

–

–

Final

Boston College@Virginia Tech

32%
68%

33
31

✗

VT −7.0

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Miami (FL)

23%
77%

20
47

✓

MIA −11.1

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Eastern Michigan

80%
20%

38
7

✓

CMU −13.9

–

–

Final

Washington@Colorado

68%
32%

38
23

✓

WASH −7.7

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Miami (OH)

65%
35%

41
10

✓

WMU −6.7

–

–

Afternoon 17 games

Final

NC State@Syracuse

31%
69%

24
17

✗

SYR −7.4

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Louisiana Tech

43%
57%

10
59

✓

LT −2.2

–

–

Final

Virginia@Georgia Tech

28%
72%

10
35

✓

GT −9.1

–

–

Final

#12TCU@West Virginia

59%
41%

31
30

✓

TCU −4.2

–

–

Final

Indiana@Michigan

28%
72%

10
34

✓

MICH −8.7

–

–

Final

Purdue@#14Nebraska

6.3%
94%

14
35

✓

NEB −24.2

–

–

Final

BYU@Middle Tennessee

63%
37%

27
7

✓

BYU −5.7

–

–

Final

Floridavs#7GeorgiaUpset

17%
83%

38
20

✗

UGA −15.0

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Appalachian State

18%
82%

0
44

✓

APP −14.1

–

–

Final

Houston@USF

82%
18%

27
3

✓

HOU −15.0

–

–

Final

Kansas@#9Baylor

1.8%
98%

14
60

✓

BAY −33.4

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Missouri

22%
78%

10
20

✓

MIZ −12.0

–

–

Final

Texas State@New Mexico State

65%
35%

37
29

✓

TXST −6.5

–

–

Final

#18USC@Washington State

75%
25%

44
17

✓

USC −11.4

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Idaho

90%
9.8%

44
28

✓

ARST −21.1

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Louisiana

43%
57%

9
19

✓

UL −2.4

–

–

Final

New Mexico@UNLV

56%
44%

31
28

✓

UNM −3.1

–

–

Prime time 8 games

Final

UAB@Florida Atlantic

42%
58%

31
28

✗

FAU −2.9

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@Vanderbilt

34%
66%

28
42

✓

VAN −6.0

–

–

Final

Colorado State@San Jose State

61%
39%

38
31

✓

CSU −4.9

–

–

Final

#2Auburn@#3Ole Miss

42%
58%

35
31

✗

MISS −2.6

–

–

Final

Arkansas@#5Mississippi State

18%
82%

10
17

✓

MSST −14.3

–

–

Final

Texas@Texas Tech

63%
37%

34
13

✓

TEX −5.6

–

–

Final

#19Stanford@#4Oregon

29%
72%

16
45

✓

ORE −8.6

–

–

Final

Tennessee@South Carolina

39%
61%

45
42

✗

SC −4.1

–

–

Late night 6 games

Final

San Diego State@Nevada

31%
70%

14
30

✓

NEV −7.6

–

–

Final

#23Arizona@#20UCLA

36%
64%

7
17

✓

UCLA −5.2

–

–

Final

California@Oregon State

40%
60%

45
31

✗

ORST −3.7

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Fresno StateUpset

25%
75%

45
17

✗

FRES −10.3

–

–

Final

Utah State@Hawaii

71%
29%

35
14

✓

USU −9.4

–

–

Final

Utah@#21Arizona State

35%
65%

16
19

✓

ASU −5.6

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

Cincinnati@Tulane

69%
31%

38
14

✓

CIN −8.4

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Memphis

5.3%
95%

20
40

✓

MEM −25.5

–

–

Sun, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final

Oklahoma State@#13Kansas State

22%
78%

14
48

✓

KSU −11.6

–

–

Final

Illinois@#8Ohio State

3.2%
97%

14
55

✓

OSU −29.3

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@UTEP

26%
74%

14
35

✓

UTEP −9.7

–

–

Final

#16Notre DamevsNavy

83%
17%

49
39

✓

ND −15.8

–

–