Week 7 slate, 2014

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#25BYU@UCFUpset

59%
41%

24
31

✗

BYU −3.7

–

–

Fri, Oct 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Washington State@#15Stanford

17%
83%

17
34

✓

STAN −15.9

–

–

Final

San Diego State@New Mexico

54%
46%

24
14

✓

SDSU −1.5

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Fresno State@UNLVUpset

76%
24%

27
30

✗

FRES −11.6

–

–

Sat, Oct 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 18 games

Final

Cincinnati@Miami (FL)

27%
73%

34
55

✓

MIA −10.4

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Temple

7.9%
92%

24
35

✓

TEM −23.5

–

–

Final

#8Florida State@Syracuse

84%
16%

38
20

✓

FSU −16.2

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Texas Tech

67%
33%

37
34

✓

WVU −7.1

–

–

Final

Texasvs#5Oklahoma

20%
80%

26
31

✓

OU −13.8

–

–

Final

Illinois@Wisconsin

8.0%
92%

28
38

✓

WIS −23.4

–

–

Final

Indiana@Iowa

35%
65%

29
45

✓

IOWA −6.7

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Minnesota

38%
62%

17
24

✓

MINN −5.2

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@#18Marshall

10%
90%

24
49

✓

MRSH −21.0

–

–

Final

Rice@Army

52%
48%

41
21

✓

RICE −0.8

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Kentucky

16%
84%

14
48

✓

UK −16.5

–

–

Final

#12Georgia@Missouri

56%
44%

34
0

✓

UGA −2.3

–

–

Final

Duke@Georgia Tech

44%
56%

31
25

✗

GT −2.5

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Eastern MichiganUpset

81%
19%

27
37

✗

BUF −14.5

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Ohio

54%
46%

31
13

✓

BGSU −1.8

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Akron

15%
85%

19
29

✓

AKR −17.4

–

–

Final

UMass@Kent StateUpset

21%
79%

40
17

✗

KENT −13.3

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Georgia State

77%
23%

52
10

✓

ARST −12.2

–

–

Afternoon 16 games

Final

Western Michigan@Ball State

43%
57%

42
38

✗

BALL −3.3

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Troy

42%
58%

24
41

✓

TROY −3.4

–

–

Final

Boston College@NC State

50%
50%

30
14

✗

NCSU −0.2

–

–

Final

#23Louisville@ClemsonUpset

43%
57%

17
23

✓

CLEM −2.9

–

–

Final

North Carolina@#13Notre Dame

13%
87%

43
50

✓

ND −18.9

–

–

Final

#22TCU@#2Baylor

20%
80%

58
61

✓

BAY −13.8

–

–

Final

Toledo@Iowa State

32%
68%

30
37

✓

ISU −7.9

–

–

Final

#11Michigan State@Purdue

92%
8.4%

45
31

✓

MSU −22.8

–

–

Final

North Texas@UAB

45%
55%

21
56

✓

UAB −2.2

–

–

Final

#10Oregon@#9UCLA

42%
58%

42
30

✗

UCLA −3.5

–

–

Final

#1Auburn@#7Mississippi State

60%
40%

23
38

✗

AUB −4.3

–

–

Final

#16Oklahoma State@Kansas

92%
7.7%

27
20

✓

OKST −23.6

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Northern IllinoisUpset

21%
79%

34
17

✗

NIU −13.7

–

–

Final

Washington@California

48%
52%

31
7

✗

CAL −0.8

–

–

Final

#3Alabama@Arkansas

71%
29%

14
13

✓

ALA −9.1

–

–

Final

Idaho@Georgia Southern

1.0%
99%

24
47

✓

GASO −38.6

–

–

Prime time 6 games

Final

East Carolina@USF

91%
9.1%

28
17

✓

ECU −22.0

–

–

Final

Houston@Memphis

30%
70%

28
24

✗

MEM −8.6

–

–

Final

Penn State@Michigan

47%
53%

13
18

✓

MICH −1.2

–

–

Final

FIU@UTSA

20%
80%

13
16

✓

UTSA −13.9

–

–

Final

#20LSU@Florida

56%
44%

30
27

✓

LSU −2.3

–

–

Final

#4Ole Miss@#14Texas A&M

53%
47%

35
20

✓

MISS −1.2

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Air Force@Utah State

30%
70%

16
34

✓

USU −8.9

–

–

Final

Colorado State@Nevada

48%
52%

31
24

✗

NEV −1.1

–

–

Final

#17USC@Arizona

53%
47%

28
26

✓

USC −1.0

–

–

Sun, Oct 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Wyoming@Hawaii

42%
58%

28
38

✓

HAW −3.4

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

UConn@Tulane

45%
55%

3
12

✓

TULN −2.2

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@UTEP

36%
64%

35
42

✓

UTEP −6.2

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 11 · 4:00 PM ET	Chattanooga at Tennessee	Tennessee −41.9	99%
Sat, Oct 11 · 7:30 PM ET	Charleston Southern at Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt −33.0	98%
Sat, Oct 11 · 3:30 PM ET	Liberty at Appalachian State	Liberty −0.1	50%
Sat, Oct 11 · 3:30 PM ET	VMI at Navy	Navy −54.5	>99%