Week 10 slate, 2013

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 3 games

Final

USF@Houston

4.4%
96%

23
35

✓

HOU −26.9

–

–

Final

Rice@North Texas

38%
62%

16
28

✓

UNT −4.4

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Troy

36%
64%

49
37

✗

TROY −5.0

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

#9Arizona State@Washington State

82%
18%

55
21

✓

ASU −14.8

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Cincinnati@Memphis

56%
44%

34
21

✓

CIN −3.0

–

–

Fri, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

USC@Oregon State

42%
58%

31
14

✗

ORST −2.9

–

–

Sat, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

Virginia Tech@Boston College

68%
32%

27
34

✗

VT −7.9

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@UMass

94%
6.1%

63
19

✓

NIU −25.1

–

–

Final

Temple@Rutgers

18%
82%

20
23

✓

RUTG −14.2

–

–

Final

Illinois@Penn State

16%
84%

17
24

✓

PSU −15.7

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@Marshall

4.1%
96%

13
61

✓

MRSH −27.6

–

–

Final

Army@Air Force

47%
53%

28
42

✓

AF −0.9

–

–

Final

#12Wisconsin@Iowa

63%
37%

28
9

✓

WIS −5.9

–

–

Final

#7Ohio State@Purdue

96%
3.7%

56
0

✓

OSU −28.9

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@#14South Carolina

18%
82%

16
34

✓

SC −14.3

–

–

Final

North Carolina@NC State

55%
45%

27
19

✓

UNC −2.7

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Syracuse

34%
66%

0
13

✓

SYR −5.9

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@UAB

60%
40%

24
21

✓

MTSU −4.4

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Georgia State

88%
12%

44
28

✓

WKU −19.4

–

–

Afternoon 19 games

Final

Arizona@California

89%
11%

33
28

✓

ARIZ −19.7

–

–

Final

#17Georgiavs#21Florida

51%
49%

23
20

✓

UGA −0.9

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Indiana

37%
63%

42
39

✗

IU −5.0

–

–

Final

Navy@Notre Dame

17%
84%

34
38

✓

ND −15.1

–

–

Final

#24Michigan@Michigan StateUpset

44%
56%

6
29

✓

MSU −2.1

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Nebraska

32%
68%

24
27

✓

NEB −7.0

–

–

Final

UTSA@Tulsa

33%
67%

34
15

✗

TLSA −6.4

–

–

Final

Kansas@Texas

5.5%
94%

13
35

✓

TEX −25.3

–

–

Final

#18Clemson@Virginia

84%
16%

59
10

✓

CLEM −16.1

–

–

Final

Kent State@Akron

47%
53%

7
16

✓

AKR −0.8

–

–

Final

Iowa State@#20Kansas State

10%
90%

7
41

✓

KSU −19.9

–

–

Final

West Virginia@TCU

29%
72%

30
27

✗

TCU −8.6

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Utah State

3.6%
96%

10
47

✓

USU −28.5

–

–

Final

San Jose State@UNLV

68%
32%

34
24

✓

SJSU −7.8

–

–

Final

Texas State@Idaho

86%
14%

37
21

✓

TXST −18.0

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Louisiana

1.6%
98%

35
49

✓

UL −34.3

–

–

Final

Tulane@Florida Atlantic

46%
54%

17
34

✓

FAU −0.9

–

–

Final

Auburn@Arkansas

71%
29%

35
17

✓

AUB −9.5

–

–

Final

East Carolina@FIU

93%
6.9%

34
13

✓

ECU −24.2

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

Pittsburgh@Georgia Tech

23%
77%

10
21

✓

GT −11.3

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#10Missouri

15%
85%

3
31

✓

MIZ −15.9

–

–

Final

#11Oklahoma State@#25Texas Tech

51%
49%

52
34

✓

OKST −0.8

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Toledo

3.1%
97%

16
55

✓

TOL −29.6

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@South Alabama

45%
55%

17
16

✗

USA −1.3

–

–

Final

Colorado@#22UCLA

3.4%
97%

23
45

✓

UCLA −28.9

–

–

Final

UTEP@#5Texas A&M

0.7%
99%

7
57

✓

TA&M −39.1

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Nevada@Fresno State

15%
86%

23
41

✓

FRES −16.4

–

–

Sun, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final

New Mexico@San Diego State

28%
72%

30
35

✓

SDSU −8.8

–

–

Final

Boise State@Colorado State

68%
32%

42
30

✓

BOIS −8.0

–

–

Final

#23Miami (FL)@#3Florida State

13%
87%

14
41

✓

FSU −17.7

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ET	Alabama State at Kentucky	Kentucky −22.7	92%