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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 2013

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 35

Wilder than 35% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 11.8 expected

  • Biggest shockAuburn over Texas A&M16% chance · won 45-41
  • Runner-upOle Miss over LSU25% chance · won 27-24
  • Runner-upMinnesota over Northwestern27% chance · won 20-17

Upsets

Wed, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Louisiana@Western Kentucky
44%
56%
37
20
✗
WKU −2.0
–
–

Thu, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#15Miami (FL)@North Carolina
75%
25%
27
23
✓
MIA −11.1
–
–

Sat, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 17 games

Final
Minnesota@Northwestern
27%
73%
20
17
✗
NU −9.2
–
–
Final
Purdue@Michigan State
4.3%
96%
0
14
✓
MSU −27.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@East Carolina
5.4%
95%
14
55
✓
ECU −25.4
–
–
Final
TCU@#21Oklahoma State
25%
75%
10
24
✓
OKST −10.2
–
–
Final
SMU@Memphis
33%
67%
34
29
✗
MEM −6.7
–
–
Final
#10Georgia@VanderbiltUpset
70%
30%
27
31
✗
UGA −8.6
–
–
Final
#22Texas Tech@West Virginia
71%
29%
37
27
✓
TTU −9.4
–
–
Final
UConn@Cincinnati
13%
87%
16
41
✓
CIN −17.6
–
–
Final
#14South Carolina@TennesseeUpset
66%
34%
21
23
✗
SC −7.1
–
–
Final
Navy@Toledo
33%
67%
44
45
✓
TOL −6.6
–
–
Final
#11Florida@#13Missouri
40%
60%
17
36
✓
MIZ −3.7
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Georgia Tech
36%
64%
0
56
✓
GT −5.4
–
–
Final
Akron@Miami (OH)
65%
35%
24
17
✓
AKR −6.5
–
–
Final
Army@Temple
47%
53%
14
33
✓
TEM −0.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@Eastern Michigan
85%
15%
56
28
✓
OHIO −16.7
–
–
Final
Ball State@Western Michigan
91%
8.9%
38
17
✓
BALL −21.9
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Wyoming
29%
71%
52
22
✗
WYO −8.3
–
–

Afternoon 13 games

Final
Kent State@South Alabama
47%
53%
21
38
✓
USA −0.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Central Michigan
82%
18%
38
17
✓
NIU −15.2
–
–
Final
#8UCLA@#7Stanford
39%
61%
10
24
✓
STAN −4.0
–
–
Final
Indiana@#25Michigan
23%
77%
47
63
✓
MICH −11.4
–
–
Final
Maryland@Wake Forest
63%
37%
10
34
✗
MD −5.7
–
–
Final
Iowa@#12Ohio State
18%
82%
24
34
✓
OSU −14.0
–
–
Final
Auburn@#6Texas A&MUpset
16%
84%
45
41
✗
TA&M −15.7
–
–
Final
#20BYU@Houston
61%
39%
47
46
✓
BYU −5.0
–
–
Final
Duke@Virginia
54%
46%
35
22
✓
DUKE −2.1
–
–
Final
UMass@Buffalo
6.7%
93%
3
32
✓
BUF −23.7
–
–
Final
#19Oklahoma@Kansas
88%
12%
34
19
✓
OU −19.6
–
–
Final
North Texas@Louisiana Tech
63%
37%
28
13
✓
UNT −5.7
–
–
Final
#24Washington@#16Arizona State
32%
68%
24
53
✓
ASU −6.8
–
–

Prime time 6 games

Final
#5LSU@Ole MissUpset
75%
25%
24
27
✗
LSU −11.3
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#4Baylor
5.9%
94%
7
71
✓
BAY −24.6
–
–
Final
Georgia State@Texas State
7.1%
93%
17
24
✓
TXST −23.1
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#2Alabama
2.6%
97%
0
52
✓
ALA −30.7
–
–
Final
USC@Notre Dame
40%
60%
10
14
✓
ND −3.7
–
–
Final
Utah State@New Mexico
82%
18%
45
10
✓
USU −15.2
–
–

Late night 4 games

Final
Utah@Arizona
43%
57%
24
35
✓
ARIZ −2.3
–
–
Final
UNLV@Fresno State
11%
89%
14
38
✓
FRES −19.5
–
–
Final
Washington State@#1Oregon
1.8%
98%
38
62
✓
ORE −33.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@California
84%
16%
49
17
✓
ORST −16.0
–
–

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#23UCF@#17Louisville
33%
67%
38
35
✗
LOU −6.4
–
–

Sun, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
Nevada@Boise State
12%
88%
17
34
✓
BOIS −18.8
–
–
Final
Rice@New Mexico State
90%
9.5%
45
19
✓
RICE −21.3
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#9Clemson
57%
43%
51
14
✓
FSU −3.5
–
–
Final
#18Wisconsin@Illinois
78%
22%
56
32
✓
WIS −12.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 19 · 2:00 PM ET Charleston Southern at Colorado Colorado −29.9 97%
Sat, Oct 19 · 7:00 PM ET Old Dominion at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh −27.8 96%